Tropical Depression EMONG Advisory No. 04

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMONG ADVISORY NO. 04 Issued at: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Monday, 05 July 2021 Next update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Tuesday, 06 July 2021
Current Status & Outlook	Tropical Depression (TD) EMONG has accelerated northwestward and is now traversing the Batanes Group of Islands…passing very close to Basco.  24-hr Outlook: TD EMONG is forecast to slightly intensify briefly into a Tropical Storm (TS) later tonight or early tomorrow morning, before weakening back to TD status. It will continue moving northwestward across the western part of the Bashi Channel by early tomorrow morning at a decreased forward speed of 22 km/hr –  exiting the northwestern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). By tomorrow afternoon, EMONG will be approaching the southern coast of Fujian Province as a dissipating system, before making landfall near Xiamen, China tomorrow evening.
Where is EMONG?	As of 5:00 PM PhT today, July 05…0900 GMT: Location of Center/Eye: Along the eastern coast of Batanes Islands (near 20.3°N 122.1°E) Distance 1: 21 km south-southeast of Basco, Batanes Distance 2: 126 km north-northeast of Calayan Island, Cagayan Distance 3: 202 km north of Santa Ana, Cagayan
How strong is it?	Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 55 kph near the center…Gustiness: 75 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs)	Northwest @ 47 kph, towards the Batanes & Southern China Area
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)	None
What Philippine areas will be directly affected?	Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs): None Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected): None
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+	None +Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.
2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**	TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens into a TD after briefly reaching TS classification…traversing the southernmost portion of Taiwan Strait (outside of PAR) while moving NW-ward, approaching Fujian, China…about 176 km W of Kaohsiung, Taiwan [2PM Jul 06: 22.8°N 118.6°E @ 55 kph].  Forecast Confidence: MEDIUM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Dissipating rapidly into a Tropical Disturbance (LPA) as it moves NNW across the mountains of Fujian Province, China…about 352 km NW of Fuzhou, China [2PM Jul 07: 28.5°N 117.0°E @ 30 kph].  Forecast Confidence: LOW **Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Other Storm's Meteorological Information	24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 100 mm [Light to Heavy] Minimum Central Pressure: 1004 millibars (hPa) Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Small (490 km) Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): n/a (— km) Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)

O

Typhoon2000 (T2K) Integrated Multi-Agency Tracks

:: None yet. Will be available once RSMC's Tokyo Typhoon Center (JMA) upgrades it into a Tropical Storm ::

O

PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL

Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://pubfiles.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tamss/weather/signals_emong.png)

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Tropical Depression EMONG Advisory No. 03

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMONG ADVISORY NO. 03 Issued at: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Monday, 05 July 2021 Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Monday, 05 July 2021
Current Status & Outlook	Tropical Depression (TD) EMONG fast approaching the Batanes & Babuyan Group of Islands as it enters the eastern part of the Balintang Channel…intensifies slightly and will pass over or very close to Basco tonight. 24-hr Outlook: TD EMONG is forecast to intensify into a Tropical Storm (TS) later today and will maintain west-northwest movement across the Balintang & Bashi Channels at a decreased forward speed of 30 km/hr this evening. It will then exit the northwestern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by early tomorrow morning (Jul 06). Meanwhile, Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 97W has moved out of the PAR this morning, as it heads for Vietnam. At 11AM today, it was located about 639 km west of Subic Bay (15.0N 114.3E). The potential of becoming a Tropical Depression within the next 24 hours remains at MEDIUM (35-65% chance).
Where is EMONG?	As of 11:00 AM PhT today, July 05…0300 GMT: Location of Center/Eye: Along the eastern portion of the Balintang Channel (near 18.8°N 124.3°E) Distance 1: 229 km east of Santa Ana, Cagayan Distance 2: 284 km east of Aparri, Cagayan Distance 3: 303 km southeast of Basco, Batanes
How strong is it?	Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 55 kph near the center…Gustiness: 75 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs)	West-Northwest @ 40 kph, towards the Batanes & Babuyan Group of Islands
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)	None
What Philippine areas will be directly affected?	Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs): None Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected): None
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+	None +Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.
2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**	TUESDAY MORNING: Already outside of PAR as it strengthens into a 75-kph TS…about 146 km SW of Kaohsiung, Taiwan [8AM Jul 06: 21.8°N 119.2°E @ 75 kph].  Forecast Confidence: MEDIUM WEDNESDAY MORNING: Weakens rapidly into a Tropical Disturbance (LPA) as it moves NNW across Southern China…about 222 km W of Fuzhou, China [8AM Jul 07: 26.4°N 117.1°E @ 35 kph].  Forecast Confidence: LOW **Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Other Storm's Meteorological Information	24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 200 mm [Light to Heavy] Minimum Central Pressure: 1005 millibars (hPa) Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Small (400 km) Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): n/a (— km) Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)

O

Typhoon2000 (T2K) Integrated Multi-Agency Tracks

:: None yet. Will be available once RSMC's Tokyo Typhoon Center (JMA) upgrades it into a Tropical Storm ::

O

PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL

Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://pubfiles.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tamss/weather/signals_emong.png)

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Tropical Depression EMONG Advisory No. 01

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMONG ADVISORY NO. 01 Issued at: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Sunday, 04 July 2021 Next update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Monday, 05 July 2021
Current Status & Outlook	Tropical Depression (TD) EMONG newly-formed over the Central Philippine Sea as it races northwestward in the general direction of Batanes-Taiwan Area. 24-hr Outlook: TS EMONG is forecast to intensify into a Tropical Storm (TS) tomorrow and will continue to accelerate rapidly northwestward across the Philippine Sea at an increased forward speed of 38 km/hr. It will be approaching the Batanes Group of Islands by tomorrow afternoon (July 05). Meanwhile, Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 97W continues to accelerate west-northwestward across the West Philippine Sea, away from the Philippines. At 5pm today, it was located about (13.7N 118.4E). The potential of becoming a Tropical Depression within the next 24 hours is now MEDIUM (35-65% chance).
Where is EMONG?	As of 5:00 PM PhT today, July 04…0900 GMT: Location of Center/Eye: Along the mid-eastern portion of the Central Philippine Sea (near 15.2°N 130.6°E) Distance 1: 712 km east-northeast of Virac, Catanduanes Distance 2: 922 km east of Casiguran, Aurora Distance 3: 1,081 km east-southeast of Basco, Batanes
How strong is it?	Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 45 kph near the center…Gustiness: 65 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs)	North-Northwest @ 39 kph, across the Central Philippine Sea
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)	None
What Philippine areas will be directly affected?	Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs): None Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected): None
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+	None +Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.
2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**	MONDAY AFTERNOON: Accelerating NNW across the southwestern portion of the North Philippine Sea, approaching the Bashi Channel and becomes a Tropical Storm (TS)…about 278 km ESE of Basco, Batanes [2PM Jul 05: 19.6°N 124.5°E @ 65 kph].  Forecast Confidence: MEDIUM TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens slightly after reaching 75 km/hr…exits the northwestern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) as it approaches the Southern Coast of China…about 408 km NW of Basco, Batanes [2PM Jul 06: 22.6°N 118.8°E @ 65 kph].  Forecast Confidence: LOW **Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Other Storm's Meteorological Information	24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 200 mm [Light to Heavy] Minimum Central Pressure: 1006 millibars (hPa) Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Average (780 km) Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): n/a (— km) Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)

O

Typhoon2000 (T2K) Integrated Multi-Agency Tracks

:: None yet. Will be available once RSMC's Tokyo Typhoon Center (JMA) upgrades it into a Tropical Storm ::

O

PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL

Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://pubfiles.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tamss/weather/signals_emong.png)

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