Tropical Depression AGATON (MEGI) Advisory No. 05

TROPICAL DEPRESSION AGATON (MEGI) ADVISORY NO. 05 Issued at: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Monday, 11 April 2022 Next update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Tuesday, 12 April 2022
Current Status & Outlook	Tropical Depression AGATON (MEGI) continues to decay, and is now along the coast of Daanbantayan, Cebu. Pulsating Central Dense Overcast (CDO) together with its disorganized rainbands associated with this cyclone will continue to dump heavy to torrential rains across the Visayas including Masbate through the evening. 24-hr Outlook: TD AGATON is forecast to weaken into a remnant LPA as it moves East to ESE-ward @ 6 kph and will be along the coastal waters of Tolosa, Leyte by tomorrow afternoon. Meanwhile, Severe Tropical Storm (STS) MALAKAS almost a Typhoon while moving closer to the Philippine Sea, expected to briefly enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by tomorrow (Apr 12). However, upon its entrance, STS MALAKAS is forecast to recurve north to NE-ward and exit PAR on Wednesday (Apr 13) as it pulls behind the soon-to-be remants of TD Agaton (Megi).
Where is AGATON (MEGI)?	As of 5:00 PM PhT today, April 11…0900 GMT: Location of Center/Eye: Along the Coastal Waters of Daanbantayan, Cebu (near 11.3°N 124.0°E) Distance 1: 74 km west-northwest of Ormoc City, Leyte Distance 2: 80 km northeast of Sagay City, Negros Occidental Distance 3: 107 km north of Mandaue City, Cebu
How strong is it?	Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 45 kph near the center…Gustiness: 65 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs)	West-Northwest @ 04 kph, towards Northern Leyte.
Potential Philippine Major Landfall Area(s)	Over Villaba, Leyte – Tonight, with a High Strike Probability of >90%.
What Philippine areas will be directly affected?	Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs): Visayas, Masbate, Ticao Island including Dinagat Island Group. Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected): None
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+	None +Waves of 3 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.
2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**	TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens into a remnant LPA while accelerating ESE-ward, emerging along the coastal waters of Tolosa, Leyte…about 32 km SSE of Tacloban City, Leyte [2PM Apr 12: 11.0°N 125.1°E @ 35 kph].  Forecast Confidence: LOW WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Just a Shallow LPA as its circulation disintegrates while moving across the Philippine Sea (due to the pull from the passing STS Malakas located to the east-northeast)…about 461 km ENE of Tandag City, Surigao Del Sur [2PM Apr 13: 10.8°N 130.0°E @ 20 kph].  Forecast Confidence: LOW **Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Other Storm's Meteorological Information	24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 510 mm [Light to Extreme] Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa) Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Average (510 km) Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Small (440 km) Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts):  —
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2k)

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) Integrated Multi-Agency Tracks

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PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL

Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tropical-cyclone-bulletin-iframe)

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Tropical Depression AGATON (MEGI) Advisory No. 04

Tropical Depression AGATON (MEGI) Advisory No. 04

TROPICAL DEPRESSION AGATON (MEGI) ADVISORY NO. 04 Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Monday, 11 April 2022 Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Monday, 11 April 2022
Current Status & Outlook	AGATON (MEGI) has weakened into a Tropical Depression (TD) after it made landfall along MacArthur-Mayorga Area in Eastern Leyte late last night, and is now in the vicinity of Ormoc City. Its core of strong rainbands will continue to dump heavy to torrential rains across Leyte and Northern Cebu today. 24-hr Outlook: TD AGATON is forecast to drift very slowly, WNW @ 3 kph and will be in the vicinity of Daanbantayan, Cebu early tomorrow morning. The depression is expected to weaken further later today. Meanwhile, Severe Tropical Storm (STS) MALAKAS has maintained its strength while moving closer to the Philippine Sea, expected to brieflyenter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) early tomorrow morning (Apr 12). However, upon its entrance, STS MALAKAS is forecast to recurve northward and exit PAR on Wednesday (Apr 13) as it pulls behind the soon-to-be remants of TD Agaton (Megi).
Where is AGATON (MEGI)?	As of 5:00 AM PhT today, April 11…2100 GMT: Location of Center/Eye: Over Ormoc City, Leyte (near 11.0°N 124.6°E) Distance 1: 5 km south-southwest of Ormoc City, Leyte Distance 2: 49 km southwest of Tacloban City, Leyte Distance 3: 103 km northeast of Mandaue City, Cebu
How strong is it?	Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 55 kph near the center…Gustiness: 65 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs)	West-Northwest @ 04 kph, across Northern Leyte.
Potential Philippine Major Landfall Area(s)	Over Daanbantayan, Cebu – Early Tomorrow Morning, with a High Strike Probability of >90%.
What Philippine areas will be directly affected?	Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs): Eastern & Central Visayas, Sorsogon, Masbate, Ticao Island including Dinagat Island Group. Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected): None
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+	None +Waves of 3 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.
2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**	TUESDAY EARLY MORNING: Weakens further while making landfall over Daanbantayan, Cebu,  moving WNW slowly…about 68 km NE of Escalante City, Negros Occidental [2AM Apr 12: 11.2°N 124.0°E @ 45 kph].  Forecast Confidence: LOW WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING: Weakens into a remnant LPA while reversing its track Eastward (due to the pull from the passing STS Malakas located to the east). Will pass over Guiuan, Eastern Samar while emerging back over the Philippine Sea…about 30 km E of Guiuan, Eastern Samar [2AM Apr 13: 11.0°N 126.0°E @ 35 kph].  Forecast Confidence: LOW **Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Other Storm's Meteorological Information	24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 300 mm [Light to Extreme] Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa) Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Average (685 km) Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Midget (<125 km) Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts):  —
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2k)

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) Integrated Multi-Agency Tracks

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PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL

Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tropical-cyclone-bulletin-iframe)

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Tropical Storm AGATON Advisory No. 02

TROPICAL STORM AGATON ADVISORY NO. 02 Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Sunday, 10 April 2022 Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Sunday, 10 April 2022
Current Status & Outlook	AGATON becomes a Tropical Storm (TS) as it creeps closer to Guiuan, Eastern Samar.  Heavy to torrential rains prevailing across Samar & Leyte Provinces, Surigao Del Norte including Dinagat & Siargao Group of Islands. Landfall is likely along the southern portions of Eastern Samar today.  24-hr Outlook: TS AGATON is forecast to drift slowly, West to WNW @ 5 kph across the southern portions of Eastern Samar through early tomorrow morning (Monday) while maintaining its strength. Its rain circulation has expanded and is now affecting various portions of Visayas, Bicol Region, Northern Caraga, and Northern Mindanao.
Where is AGATON?	As of 5:00 AM PhT today, April 10…2100 GMT: Location of Center/Eye: Along the coastal waters of Guiuan, Eastern Samar (near 11.0°N 126.2°E) Distance 1: 52 km east of Guiuan, Eastern Samar Distance 2: 138 km east-southeast of Tacloban City, Leyte Distance 3: 157 km east-southeast of Surigao City, Surigao Del Norte
How strong is it?	Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 65 kph near the center…Gustiness: 85 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs)	West-Northwest @ 06 kph, along the Coastal Waters of Guiuan, Eastern Samar.
Potential Philippine Major Landfall Area(s)	Along the Southern Portions of Eastern Samar – with High Strike Probability of >90%.
What Philippine areas will be directly affected?	Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs): Eastern & Central Visayas, Sorsogon, Albay, Masbate, Ticao Island including Dinagat & Siargao Island Group. Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected): None
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+	None +Waves of 3 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.
3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**	MONDAY EARLY MORNING: Maintains its strength as it drifts slowly overland across the Southern Part of Samar Province…about 26 km E of Tacloban City, Leyte [2AM Apr 11: 11.3°N 125.2°E @ 65 kph].  Forecast Confidence: LOW TUESDAY EARLY MORNING: Stalls very near Tacloban City as it starts to interacts with the large circulation of STS MALAKAS…about 37 km E of Tacloban City, Leyte [2AM Apr 12: 11.2°N 125.3°E @ 75 kph].  Forecast Confidence: LOW WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING: Accelerates rapidly East to ENE-ward across the easternmost part of the Philippine Sea…exits the PAR. Completely assimilated into the southern circulation of STS MALAKAS…about 852 km ENE of Guiuan, Eastern Samar [2AM Apr 13: 11.1°N 128.4°E @ 75 kph].  Forecast Confidence: LOW **Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Other Storm's Meteorological Information	24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 700 mm [Light to Extreme] Minimum Central Pressure: 999 millibars (hPa) Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Average (595 km) Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Midget (<125 km) Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts):  —
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2k)

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) Integrated Multi-Agency Tracks

:: Not Yet Available

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PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL

Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tropical-cyclone-bulletin-iframe)

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Tropical Depression AGATON Advisory No. 01

TROPICAL DEPRESSION AGATON ADVISORY NO. 01 Issued at: 8:00 PM PhT (12:00 GMT) Saturday, 09 April 2022 Next update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Sunday, 10 April 2022
Current Status & Outlook	Tropical Depression AGATON newly-formed along the coastal waters of Siargao-Guiuan Area…barely moving as it awaits the passage of the much stronger Tropical Storm MALAKAS located to the east, outside of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). 24-hr Outlook: TD AGATON is forecast to maintain its quasi-stationary motion through tomorrow, Sunday and could become a Tropical Storm. Its circulation remains small and will only affect Eastern Visayas and Surigao Del Norte including Siargao and Dinagat Island Group.
Where is AGATON?	As of 5:00 PM PhT today, April 09…0900 GMT: Location of Center/Eye: Along the southwesternmost portion of the Central Philippine Sea (near 10.8°N 127.0°E) Distance 1: 142 km east of Guiuan, Eastern Samar Distance 2: 200 km northeast of Surigao City, Surigao Del Norte Distance 3: 228 km east-southeast of Tacloban City, Leyte
How strong is it?	Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 45 kph near the center…Gustiness: 65 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs)	Quasi-Stationary (ESE @ 04 kph), over the Coastal Waters of Siargao-Guiuan Area.
Potential Philippine Major Landfall Area(s)	None
What Philippine areas will be directly affected?	Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs): Eastern Visayas including Dinagat & Siargao Island Group. Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected): None
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+	None +Waves of 3 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.
3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**	SUNDAY AFTERNOON: Intensifies into a TS while remaining almost stationary along the coastal waters of Guiuan and Siargao Area…about 110 km ESE of Guiuan, Eastern Samar [2PM Apr 10: 10.8°N 126.7°E @ 65 kph].  Forecast Confidence:  MEDIUM MONDAY AFTERNOON: Strengthens further as it starts to move slowly ENE across the Central Philippine Sea towards the circulation of TS MALAKAS…about 250 km E of Guiuan, Eastern Samar [2PM Apr 11: 11.3°N 128.0°E @ 75 kph].  Forecast Confidence: LOW TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Completely assimilated into the southern circulation of the larger TS MALAKAS…about 852 km ENE of Guiuan, Eastern Samar [2PM Apr 12: 13.0°N 133.3°E @ 75 kph].  Forecast Confidence: LOW **Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Other Storm's Meteorological Information	24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 500 mm [Light to Extreme] Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa) Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Small (420 km) Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Midget (<125 km) Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts):  —
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2k)

O

Typhoon2000 (T2K) Integrated Multi-Agency Tracks

:: Not Yet Available

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PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL

Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tropical-cyclone-bulletin-iframe)

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