This weather updates section provides "easy-to-understand" tropical cyclone information over the South China Sea and Northwest Pacific Basin (from Malay Peninsula - 100° E up to the International Date Line - 180°). This website is updated every 6 hours (12pm, 6pm, and 6am Philippine Time ~ GMT+8) during times of tropical cyclone activity except 12am Philippine Time (to be included if Tropical Cyclone will pass over the Philippine Islands or close to Bicol Region).

The tropical cyclone information available on this site are taken from different online meteorological agencies from around the world-wide web namely: WeatherPhilippines Foundation Inc., Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical & Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA), U.S. Navy's Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) based in Pearl Harbor, Hawaii, United Nations' Regional Specialized Meteorological Centre (RSMC) Tokyo-Typhoon Centre (Japan Meteorological Agency), & Hong Kong Observatory.

Saturday, August 26, 2017

Tropical Storm PAKHAR (JOLINA) Update Number 009 [FINAL]

 


Tropical Storm PAKHAR (JOLINA) Update Number 009 [FINAL]


TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (JOLINA) UPDATE NUMBER 009 [FINAL]

Issued at: 6:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Saturday 26 August 2017
Current Status and Outlook

Tropical Storm PAKHAR (JOLINA) has slightly weakened as it exits the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). It accelerated west-northwestward in the past 6 hours over the northeastern part of the West Philippine Sea. 

The storm is expected to move northwest for the next 24 hours at a forward speed of 34 km/hr. It will make its second landfall over the Coast of Western Guangdong, China. TS PAKHAR (JOLINA) will intensify into a Severe Tropical Storm (STS) by Sunday early morning (Aug 27).

*This will be the Final Update on this tropical cyclone.

*TS PAKHAR (JOLINA) together with its associated Trough and a localized Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) will continue to bring "on-and-off" rains and thunderstorms across the Western Sections of Central Luzon tonight.

Where is PAKHAR (JOLINA)?As of 5:00 PM PhT, August 26…0900 GMT.  The center was located over the northeastern part of the West Philippine Sea (near 18.8N 117.5E), about 333 km west-northwest of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte or 351 km west of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte.
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 75 kph near the center…Gustiness: 95 kph.

Past Movement (06 hrs)It was moving West-Northwest @ 31 kph, towards Southern China.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s):: None.
What Philippine areas will be most affected?Heavy to Extreme Rains (50 to more than 100 mm expected in 24 hours):
>> None.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
>> None.

Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+:: None.
1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

SUNDAY AFTERNOON: Intensifies into a Severe Tropical Storm (STS) as it makes its second landfall over the Coast of Western Guangdong, China…248 km west of Hong Kong, China [2PM Aug 27: 22.3N 111.7E @ 110kph].  Confidence Level: MEDIUM.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 250 mm [Light to Heavy]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)

> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 805 km (Medium)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.

Additional DistancesTime/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Sat August 26, 2017
Location of Center/Eye: Near 18.8º N Lat 117.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 395 km NW of Alaminos City, Pangasinan
Distance 2: 423 km NW of Baguio City, Benguet
Distance 3: 439 km W of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 4: 444 km WNW of Tabuk City, Kalinga
Distance 5: 604 km NW of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: John Christian B. Lequiron for WeatherPhilippines

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Tropical Storm PAKHAR (JOLINA) Update Number 008

 

Tropical Storm PAKHAR (JOLINA) Update Number 008

jolina17-08

jolina17-08-zoom

jolina17-08-loop

TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (JOLINA) UPDATE NUMBER 008

Issued at: 12:45 PM PhT (04:45 GMT) Saturday 26 August 2017
Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Saturday, 26 August 2017
Current Status and Outlook

Tropical Storm PAKHAR (JOLINA) has re-intensified and accelerated rapidly northwestward away from Northern Luzon, while emerging over the West Philippine Sea, along the southwestern part of the Balintang Channel.  The southeastern circulation and rainbands are currently affecting the western sections of Ilocos Region.

This storm is expected to move west-northwestward for the next 24 hours at a speed of 34 km/hr, across the northern part of the West Philippine Sea and exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) this afternoon. PAKHAR (JOLINA) could become a Severe Tropical Storm (STS) tonight.

*TS PAKHAR (JOLINA) together with its associated Trough and a localized Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) will continue to bring "on-and-off" rains and thunderstorms across the Western Sections of Central and Southern Luzon today.

Where is PAKHAR (JOLINA)?As of 11:00 AM PhT, August 26…0300 GMT.  The center was located over the West Philippine Sea, or along the southwestern part of the Balintang Channel (near 18.4N 119.2E), about 149 km west of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte or 172 km west of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte.
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 85 kph near the center…Gustiness: 100 kph.

Past Movement (06 hrs)It was moving Northwest @ 40 kph, towards Southern China.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s):: None.
What Philippine areas will be most affected?Heavy to Extreme Rains (50 to more than 100 mm expected in 24 hours):
>> Zambales, Pangasinan, La Union, Western Abra, Ilocos Provinces  – Today.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
>> None.

Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+:: None.
1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

SUNDAY MORNING: Intensifies into a minimal (Category 1) Typhoon as it approaches the coast of Western Guangdong (China)…about 169 km southwest of Hong Kong, China [8AM Aug 27: 21.2N 113.1E @ 120kph].  Confidence Level: HIGH

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 260 mm [Light to Heavy]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 989 millibars (hPa)

> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 425 km (Very Small/Midget)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.

Additional DistancesTime/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Sat August 26, 2017
Location of Center/Eye: Near 18.4º N Lat 119.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 258 km W of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 2: 261 km WNW of Tabuk City, Kalinga
Distance 3: 267 km NNW of Baguio City, Benguet
Distance 4: 288 km NNW of Dagupan City, Pangasinan
Distance 5: 469 km NNW of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

jolina17-08a-signals

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Tropical Storm PAKHAR (JOLINA) Update Number 007

 

Tropical Storm PAKHAR (JOLINA) Update Number 007


jolina17-07
jolina17-07-zoom
jolina17-07-loop

TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (JOLINA) UPDATE NUMBER 007

Issued at: 6:00 AM PhT (22:00 GMT) Saturday 26 August 2017
Next update: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Saturday, 26 August 2017
Current Status and Outlook

Tropical Storm PAKHAR (JOLINA) has lost a little bit of strength while crossing the mountainous terrain of Northern Luzon…now in the vicinity of Ifugao-Mountain Province Border.  Its circulation and rainbands continues to affect the Northern and Central Luzon including Southern Tagalog Provinces.

This storm is expected to move northwestward for the next 24 hours at a faster speed of 37 km/hr, crossing Abra and Ilocos Sur, and shall emerge over the West Philippine Sea before noon today. TS PAKHAR (JOLINA) will eventually move out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) this afternoon, and could become a Severe Tropical Storm (STS) by early Sunday morning (Aug 27).

*TS PAKHAR (JOLINA) together with its associated Trough and the Southwesterly Surface Windflow will continue to bring "on-and-off" rains and thunderstorms across the Rest of Luzon today.

Where is PAKHAR (JOLINA)?As of 5:00 AM PhT, August 26…2100 GMT.  The center was located along  the Ifugao-Mountain Province Boundary (near 17.0N 120.9E), about 72 km northeast of San Fernando City, La Union or 74 km north-northeast of Baguio City, Benguet.
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 65 kph near the center…Gustiness: 85 kph.

Past Movement (06 hrs)It was moving West-Northwest @ 21 kph, towards Abra-Ilocos Sur Area.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s):: Currently Overland (in Northern Luzon).
What Philippine areas will be most affected?Heavy to Extreme Rains (50 to more than 100 mm expected in 24 hours):
Northern and Central Luzon including Southern Tagalog Provinces – Today.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
None.

Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+:: None.
1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

SUNDAY EARLY MORNING: Intensifies into a Severe Tropical Storm (STS) as it moves across the northern part of the South China Sea, outside of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) and approaching Southern China…about 175 km south-southeast of Hong Kong, China [2AM Aug 27: 21.0N 114.9E @ 95kph].  Confidence Level: MEDIUM

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 200 mm [Light to Heavy]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)

> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 500 km (Small)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.

Additional DistancesTime/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Sat August 26, 2017
Location of Center/Eye: Near 17.0º N Lat 120.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 84 km SE of Vigan City, Ilocos Sur
Distance 2: 111 km SW of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan
Distance 3: 119 km W of Ilagan City, Isabela
Distance 4: 133 km N of San Jose City, Nueva Ecija
Distance 5: 270 km N of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

jolina17-07-signals

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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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Tropical Storm PAKHAR (JOLINA) Update Number 006

 


Tropical Storm PAKHAR (JOLINA) Update Number 006

TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (JOLINA) UPDATE NUMBER 006

Issued at: 12:15 AM PhT (16:15 GMT) Saturday 26 August 2017
Next update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Saturday, 26 August 2017
Current Status and Outlook

Tropical Storm PAKHAR (JOLINA) has made landfall over the Coast of Northern Aurora at around 9 PM last night (Aug 25). It has slightly intensified as it traversed northwestward over the terrain of Northern Luzon. Its circulation and rainbands continues to affect the Northern, Central, and Southern Luzon.

It is expected to move west-northwest within the next 24 hours at a speed of 33 km/hr and shall emerge over the West Philippine Sea by Saturday morning (Aug 26). TS PAKHAR (JOLINA) is expected to intensify into a Severe Tropical Storm (STS) by Saturday evening (Aug 26).

*TS PAKHAR (JOLINA) and its associated Trough will bring moderate to at times heavy scattered rain showers and thunderstorms across the Rest of Luzon today.

Where is PAKHAR (JOLINA)?As of 11:00 PM PhT, August 25…1500 GMT.  The center was located over boundary of Isabela and Ifugao (near 16.4N 121.9E), about 51 km southeast of Santiago City, Isabela or 82 km south of Ilagan City, Isabela.
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 75 kph near the center…Gustiness: 95 kph.

Past Movement (06 hrs)It was moving Northwest @ 16 kph, towards the West Philippine Sea.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s):: None.
What Philippine areas will be most affected?Heavy to Extreme Rains (50 to more than 100 mm expected in 24 hours):
Northern, Central, and Southern Luzon – Today.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
None.

Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+:: None.
2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

SATURDAY EVENING: Intensifies into a Severe Tropical Storm (STS) as it emerges over the northeastern part of the West Philippine Sea after crossing Northern Luzon, outside of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)…about 383 km southeast of Hong Kong, China [8PM Aug 26: 19.7N 116.4E @ 95kph].  Confidence Level: HIGH.

SUNDAY EVENING: Makes its second landfall over Southwestern Guangdong, China with a Severe Tropical Storm (STS) category…about 405 km west of Hong Kong, China [8PM Aug 27: 21.8N 110.2E @ 95kph].  Confidence Level: LOW.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 300 mm [Light to Heavy]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)

> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 600 km (Small)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.

Additional DistancesTime/Date: 11:00 PM PhT Fri August 25, 2017
Location of Center/Eye: Near 16.4º N Lat 121.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 117 km NE of San Jose City, Nueva Ecija
Distance 2: 124 km NE of Palayan City, Nueva Ecija
Distance 3: 139 km E of Baguio City, Benguet
Distance 4: 150 km ENE of Urdaneta City, Pangasinan
Distance 5: 222 km NNE of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: John Christian B. Lequiron for WeatherPhilippines

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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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Friday, August 25, 2017

Tropical Storm PAKHAR (JOLINA) Update Number 005

 


Tropical Storm PAKHAR (JOLINA) Update Number 005

TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (JOLINA) UPDATE NUMBER 005

Issued at: 6:30 PM PhT (10:30 GMT) Friday 25 August 2017
Next update: 1:00 AM PhT (17:00 GMT) Saturday, 26 August 2017
Current Status and Outlook

Tropical Storm PAKHAR (JOLINA) has slightly weakened as it interacts on the country's landmass. It is expected to make its landfall over the Coast of Northern Aurora tonight between 7-8 PM. Residents along its path are advised beforehand to take all  necessary precautions. Its circulation and rainbands are currently affecting Northern, Central, and Southern Luzon, Metropolitan Manila, and Northern Bicol Region.

The storm is expected to weaken further as it fully interacts with the rugged terrain of Northern Luzon. It is expected to continue moving northwestward within the next 24 hours at a forward speed of 29 km/hr and shall emerge over the West Philippine Sea by Saturday early morning (Aug 26). TS PAKHAR (JOLINA) is then forecast to slightly intensify before it makes landfall.

*TS PAKHAR (JOLINA) and its associated Trough will bring scattered to widespread rains and thunderstorms across the Rest of Luzon and Northern Bicol Region tonight.

Where is PAKHAR (JOLINA)?As of 05:00 PM PhT, August 25…0900 GMT.  The center was located over the northwestern part of the Central Philippine Sea (near 15.9N 122.6E), about 124 km south of Palanan, Isabela or 144 km southeast of Santiago  City, Isabela.
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 65 kph near the center…Gustiness: 85 kph.

Past Movement (06 hrs)It was moving Northwest @ 17 kph, towards the Coastal Areas of Aurora.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s):: Along the Coast of Northern Aurora between 7-8pm on Friday (Aug 25), with a High Strike Probability of 85-95%.
What Philippine areas will be most affected?Heavy to Extreme Rains (50 to more than 100 mm expected in 24 hours):
Northern, Central, and Southern Luzon, Metropolitan Manila, and Northern Bicol Region – Tonight through Saturday (Aug 26).

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
None.

Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+:: None.
2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

SATURDAY AFTERNOON: Slightly intensifies as it emerges over the westernmost part of the Balintang Channel after crossing Northern Luzon, outside of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)…about 295 km west-northwest of Laoag  City, Ilocos Norte [2PM Aug 26: 19.2N 118.0E @ 75kph].  Confidence Level: MEDIUM.

SUNDAY AFTERNOON: Intensifies into a Typhoon (TY) over the northernmost part of the West Philippine Sea, outside of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)…about 230 km west-southwest of Hong Kong, China [2PM Aug 27: 21.5N 112.1E @ 120kph].  Confidence Level: MEDIUM.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 350 mm [Light to Extreme]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)

> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 215 km (Very Small/Midget)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.

Additional DistancesTime/Date: 05:00 PM PhT Fri August 25, 2017
Location of Center/Eye: Near 15.9º N Lat 122.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 163 km ENE of Palayan City, Nueva Ecija
Distance 2: 180 km ENE of Cabanatuan City, Nueva Ecija
Distance 3: 209 km SE of Tabuk City, Kalinga
Distance 4: 212 km SSE of Tuguegarao, Cagayan
Distance 5: 221 km NE of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: John Christian B. Lequiron for WeatherPhilippines

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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)
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