Severe Tropical Storm SAOLA (QUEDAN) Final Update

SEVERE TROPICAL STORM SAOLA (QUEDAN) UPDATE NO. 06 [FINAL] Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Saturday 28 October 2017
Current Status and Outlook	Severe Tropical Storm SAOLA (QUEDAN) intensifying as it approaches Okinawa and Ryukyu Islands…exits the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). 24-hr Outlook: STS SAOLA (QUEDAN) is expected to become a Typhoon (TY) later today and shall start to recurve north-northeastward at an accelerated forward speed of 28 kph towards the offshore areas of Southern Japan.  This storm will pass very close to Okinawa, Japan on or before noon today.  *This is the final tropical cyclone update on SAOLA (QUEDAN).
Where is SAOLA (QUEDAN)?	As of 5:00 AM PhT today, October 28…2100 GMT.  The center was located over the northern boundary of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) or over the southernmost part of the East China Sea (near 25.0N 128.1E), about 167 km south of Okinawa, Japan or 803 km northeast of Basco, Batanes.
How strong is it?	Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 100 kph near the center…Gustiness: 130 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs)	It was moving North @ 22 kph, towards Okinawa-Ryukyu Islands Area.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)	:: None.
What Philippine areas will be most affected?	Moderate to Heavy Rains (50 to 100 mm expected): >> None. Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected): >> None.
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+	:: None.
1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**	SUNDAY EARLY MORNING: Approaching the offshore islands of Southern Kyushu (Japan), maintaining its typhoon status while moving quickly east-northeastward…about 180 km south of Kagoshima, Japan [2AM Oct 29: 30.0N 130.2E @ 120kph].  Confidence Level: HIGH. **Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Other Storm Info	> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 230 mm [Light to Heavy] > Minimum Central Pressure: 982 millibars (hPa) > Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 980 km (Medium) > Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 125 km from the center
Additional Distances	Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Sat October 28, 2017 Location of Center/Eye: Near 25.0º N Lat 128.1º E Lon Distance 1: 658 km E of Taipei, Taiwan Distance 2: 757 km E of Taichung, Taiwan Distance 3: 891 km E of Fuzhou, China Distance 4: 949 km SE of Shanghai, China Distance 5: 1373 km NNE of Metro Manila
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

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Severe Tropical Storm SAOLA (QUEDAN) Update No. 05

SEVERE TROPICAL STORM SAOLA (QUEDAN) UPDATE NO. 05 Issued at: 6:30 PM PhT (10:30 GMT) Friday 27 October 2017 Next update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Saturday, 28 October 2017
Current Status and Outlook	SAOLA (QUEDAN) has re-intensified back to a Severe Tropical Storm (STS) as it accelerates to the north-northwest, while over the North Philippine Sea.  It will exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by tomorrow morning (Sat Oct 28). 24-hr Outlook: STS SAOLA (QUEDAN) is expected to become a Typhoon (TY) while moving north-northwestward  at a forward speed of 19 kph, and shall pass over or very close to Okinawa, Japan by tomorrow afternoon. *Based on its current and forecast track, this storm is not a threat to the country.
Where is SAOLA (QUEDAN)?	As of 5:00 PM PhT today, October 27…0900 GMT.  The center was located over the northern part of the North Philippine Sea (near 23.2N 128.6E), about 742 km east-southeast of Taipei, Taiwan or 746 km east-northeast of Basco, Batanes.
How strong is it?	Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 95 kph near the center…Gustiness: 120 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs)	It was moving North-Northwest @ 26 kph, towards Okinawa-Ryukyu Islands Area.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)	:: None.
What Philippine areas will be most affected?	Moderate to Heavy Rains (50 to 100 mm expected): >> None. Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected): >> None.
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+	:: None.
1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**	SATURDAY AFTERNOON: Outside of PAR as it becomes a Typhoon (TY) while passing over or very close to Okinawa, Japan…about 651 km east-northeast of Taipei, Taiwan [2PM Oct 28: 26.7N 127.8E @ 120kph].  Confidence Level: HIGH. **Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Other Storm Info	> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 250 mm [Light to Heavy] > Minimum Central Pressure: 985 millibars (hPa) > Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 905 km (Medium) > Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 30 km from the center
Additional Distances	Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Fri October 27, 2017 Location of Center/Eye: Near 23.2º N Lat 128.6º E Lon Distance 1: 747 km ESE of Itbayat, Batanes Distance 2: 814 km E of Taichung, Taiwan Distance 3: 902 km NE of Aparri, Cagayan Distance 4: 948 km NE of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan Distance 5: 1244 km NE of Metro Manila
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

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Tropical Storm SAOLA (QUEDAN) Update No. 04

TROPICAL STORM SAOLA (QUEDAN) UPDATE NO. 04 Issued at: 6:00 AM PhT (22:00 GMT) Friday 27 October 2017 Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Friday, 27 October 2017
Current Status and Outlook	Tropical Storm SAOLA (QUEDAN) continues to move northwestward across the North Philippine Sea with no change in strength…likely to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on or before noontime tomorrow (Sat Oct 28). 24-hr Outlook: TS SAOLA (QUEDAN) is expected to become a Severe Tropical Storm (STS) as it maintains its northwesterly track across the northern part of the North Philippine Sea at a forward speed of 19 kph. *Based on its current and forecast track, this storm is not a threat to the country.
Where is SAOLA (QUEDAN)?	As of 5:00 AM PhT today, October 27…2100 GMT.  The center was located over the middle part of the North Philippine Sea (near 20.8N 130.0E), about 833 km east of Basco, Batanes or 861 km east-northeast of Santa Ana, Cagayan.
How strong is it?	Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 85 kph near the center…Gustiness: 100 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs)	It was moving Northwest @ 22 kph, towards the northern part of the North Philippine Sea.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)	:: None.
What Philippine areas will be most affected?	Moderate to Heavy Rains (50 to 100 mm expected): >> None. Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected): >> None.
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+	:: None.
2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**	SATURDAY EARLY MORNING: Strengthens to a Severe Tropical Storm (STS) as it moves northwestward across the northern part of the North Philippine Sea…about 622 km east-southeast of Taipei, Taiwan [2AM Oct 28: 23.6N 127.5E @ 110kph].  Confidence Level: HIGH. SUNDAY EARLY MORNING: Passing very close to Okinawa-Ryukyu Islands after moving out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), starts to recurve towards the northeast…about 720 km east-northeast of Taipei, Taiwan [2AM Oct 29: 28.0N 128.0E @ 110kph].  Confidence Level: MEDIUM. **Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Other Storm Info	> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 250 mm [Light to Heavy] > Minimum Central Pressure: 989 millibars (hPa) > Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 975 km (Medium) > Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.
Additional Distances	Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Fri October 27, 2017 Location of Center/Eye: Near 20.8º N Lat 130.0º E Lon Distance 1: 906 km ENE of Calayan Island, Cagayan Distance 2: 934 km ENE of Ilagan City, Isabela Distance 3: 943 km ESE of Taitung, Taiwan Distance 4: 975 km ENE of Tabuk City, Kalinga Distance 5: 1173 km NE of Metro Manila
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

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Tropical Storm SAOLA (QUEDAN) Update No. 03

TROPICAL STORM SAOLA (QUEDAN) UPDATE NO. 03 Issued at: 6:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Thursday 26 October 2017 Next update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Friday, 27 October 2017
Current Status and Outlook	SAOLA (QUEDAN) has been downgraded into a Tropical Storm (TS) while moving northwestward across the North Philippine Sea during the past 12 hours. 24-hr Outlook: TS SAOLA (QUEDAN) is expected re-intensify and maintain its northwesterly track across the middle part of the North Philippine Sea at a forward speed of 20 kph. *Based on its current and forecast track, this storm is not a threat to the country.
Where is SAOLA (QUEDAN)?	As of 5:00 PM PhT today, October 26…0900 GMT.  The center was located over the southeastern part of the North Philippine Sea (near 18.9N 131.4E), about 975 km east-northeast of Palanan, Isabela or 999 km east of Basco, Batanes.
How strong is it?	Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 85 kph near the center…Gustiness: 100 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs)	It was moving Northwest @ 20 kph, towards the middle part of the North Philippine Sea.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)	:: None.
What Philippine areas will be most affected?	Moderate to Heavy Rains (50 to 100 mm expected): >> None. Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected): >> None.
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+	:: None.
3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**	FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Strengthens back to a Severe Tropical Storm (STS) as it tracks northwestward across the middle part of the North Philippine Sea…about 733 km east-northeast of Basco, Batanes [2PM Oct 27: 21.9N 128.9E @ 100kph].  Confidence Level: HIGH. SATURDAY AFTERNOON: Exits the northern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) as it becomes a Typhoon (TY), approaching Okinawa-Ryukyu Islands…about 572 km east of Taipei, Taiwan [2PM Oct 28: 25.8N 127.2E @ 130kph].  Confidence Level: MEDIUM. SUNDAY AFTERNOON: Maintains its Typhoon status as it recurves towards the east-northeast…about 822 km east-southeast of Shanghai, China [2PM Oct 29: 28.3N 129.3E @ 130kph].  Confidence Level: MEDIUM. **Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Other Storm Info	> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 300 mm [Light to Heavy] > Minimum Central Pressure: 989 millibars (hPa) > Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 780 km (Medium) > Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.
Additional Distances	Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Thu October 26, 2017 Location of Center/Eye: Near 18.9º N Lat 131.4º E Lon Distance 1: 1022 km E of Itbayat, Batanes Distance 2: 1030 km E of Aparri, Cagayan Distance 3: 1039 km NE of Legazpi City, Albay Distance 4: 1053 km NE of Naga City, Camarines Sur Distance 5: 1201 km ENE of Metro Manila
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

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Severe Tropical Storm SAOLA (QUEDAN) Update No. 02

SEVERE TROPICAL STORM SAOLA (QUEDAN) UPDATE NO. 02 Issued at: 6:30 AM PhT (22:30 GMT) Thursday 26 October 2017 Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Thursday, 26 October 2017
Current Status and Outlook	SAOLA (QUEDAN) has strengthened into a Severe Tropical Storm (STS) as it moves northwest across the North Philippine Sea in the general direction of the Southern Islands of Japan. 24-hr Outlook: STS SAOLA (QUEDAN) will continue to intensify and move northwest across the middle part of the North Philippine Sea at a decreased forward speed of 17 kph. *Based on its current and forecast track, this storm will not affect any part of the country.
Where is SAOLA (QUEDAN)?	As of 5:00 AM PhT today, October 26…2100 GMT.  The center was located over the southeastern part of the North Philippine Sea (near 17.6N 133.0E), about 1,175 km east of Casiguran, Aurora or 1,196 km east of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan.
How strong is it?	Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 95 kph near the center…Gustiness: 120 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs)	It was moving Northwest @ 22 kph, towards the middle part of the North Philippine Sea.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)	:: None.
What Philippine areas will be most affected?	Moderate to Heavy Rains (50 to 100 mm expected): >> None. Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected): >> None.
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+	:: None.
3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**	FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Strengthens to near-typhoon intensity as it tracks northwestward across the middle part of the North Philippine Sea…about 929 km east of Basco, Batanes [2AM Oct 27: 20.0N 130.9E @ 110kph].  Confidence Level: MEDIUM. SATURDAY EARLY MORNING: Becomes a Typhoon (TY) as it is about to exit the northern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), while over the middle part of the North Philippine Sea approaching Okinawa, Japan…about 669 km east of Taipei, Taiwan [2AM Oct 28: 24.1N 128.1E @ 130kph].  Confidence Level: LOW. SUNDAY EARLY MORNING: Located outside of PAR or along the easternmost part of East China Sea, continues to intensify as it begins to recurve towards the ENE…about 764 km east-southeast of Shanghai, China [2AM Oct 29: 28.6N 128.8E @ 145kph].  Confidence Level: LOW. **Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Other Storm Info	> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 320 mm [Light to Extreme] > Minimum Central Pressure: 985 millibars (hPa) > Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 760 km (Medium) > Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 110 km from the center.
Additional Distances	Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Thu October 26, 2017 Location of Center/Eye: Near 17.6º N Lat 133.0º E Lon Distance 1: 1042 km ENE of Virac, Catanduanes Distance 2: 1109 km ENE of Tabaco City, Albay Distance 3: 1127 km ENE of Iriga City, Camarines Sur Distance 4: 1139 km ENE of Naga City, Camarines Sur Distance 5: 1319 km ENE of Metro Manila
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

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