This weather updates section provides "easy-to-understand" tropical cyclone information over the South China Sea and Northwest Pacific Basin (from Malay Peninsula - 100° E up to the International Date Line - 180°). This website is updated every 6 hours (12pm, 6pm, and 6am Philippine Time ~ GMT+8) during times of tropical cyclone activity except 12am Philippine Time (to be included if Tropical Cyclone will pass over the Philippine Islands or close to Bicol Region).

The tropical cyclone information available on this site are taken from different online meteorological agencies from around the world-wide web namely: WeatherPhilippines Foundation Inc., Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical & Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA), U.S. Navy's Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) based in Pearl Harbor, Hawaii, United Nations' Regional Specialized Meteorological Centre (RSMC) Tokyo-Typhoon Centre (Japan Meteorological Agency), & Hong Kong Observatory.

Sunday, October 15, 2017

Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 91W StormWatch No. 01

 

Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 91W StormWatch No. 01

91w-stormwatch-001
91w-stormwatch-01-loop

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (LPA) 91W STORMWATCH #01

Issued at: 7:30 PM PhT (11:30 GMT) Sunday 15 October 2017
Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT), Monday 16 Oct 2017 or earlier
Current Status and OutlookA developing Tropical Disturbance (LPA) [91W] in the vicinity of Western Micronesia (Caroline Islands) is heading towards the Philippine Sea and is likely to become a Tropical Cyclone within the next 06 to 24 hours.  It is forecast to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by tomorrow evening (Mon Oct 16).
Where is LPA 91W?As of 5:00 PM PhT today, October 15…0900 GMT.  The developing center was located over Western Micronesia (near 9.3N 137.2E), about 107 km west-southwest of Colonia, Yap State or 1,284 km east of Surigao City, Surigao Del Norte. 
How strong is it?Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 35 kph near the center…Gustiness: 50 kph
Past Movement (06 hrs)It was moving North-Northwest @ 19 kph, towards Easternmost Part of the Central Philippine Sea.
Forecast Highlights
  • The reliable Global Typhoon Forecast Models (GTFM) are showing this system to become a Tropical Depression up to a minimal Tropical Storm (TS) within the next 06 to 24 hours, and will enter the PAR on Monday evening, Oct 16, between 8-10pm.  The forecast confidence is currently at Medium (35-65%).
  • This LPA is too far away to directly affect any part of the Philippines.
  • Once this LPA becomes a Tropical Cyclone (TC) and enters the PAR – it will be locally named as "PAOLO," with global name "LAN"
  • The Day 4 to 6 forecast shows it recurving north to north-northeast across the Philippine Sea towards the Sea south of Japan.  If this trend will continue, no Philippine landfall is expected. 
  • This 24-hour StormWatch Update will be replaced with a 12-hrly Tropical Cyclone Updates once the LPA 91W becomes a Tropical Cyclone and enters the PAR.

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

__._,_.___
Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)
Have you tried the highest rated email app?
With 4.5 stars in iTunes, the Yahoo Mail app is the highest rated email app on the market. What are you waiting for? Now you can access all your inboxes (Gmail, Outlook, AOL and more) in one place. Never delete an email again with 1000GB of free cloud storage.

.

__,_._,___
Posted by at

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.

Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom)