Super Typhoon MANGKHUT (OMPONG) Update No. 16
SUPER TYPHOON MANGKHUT (OMPONG) UPDATE NO. 16Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Saturday, 15 September 2018 Next update: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Saturday, 15 September 2018 | |
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| Current Status and Outlook | The eye of Super Typhoon MANGKHUT (OMPONG) is now over Apayao Province after it made landfall along the towns of Baggao and Gattaran in Eastern Cagayan early this morning at 2:00 AM. The large core has dumped heavy to extreme rainfall with very strong winds across Cagayan and nearby areas. At 4:00 AM today, a WPF Automated Weather Station (AWS) based in Iguig, Cagayan has reporded wind gust of 204 km/hr blowing from the West. 24-hr Outlook: STY MANGKHUT (OMPONG) is expected to cross Ilocos Norte this morning and will emerge over the West Philippine Sea, while moving west-northwest with a forward speed of 25 km/hr. This howler will eventually move out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by late tonight or early Sunday morning, with a decrease intensity. |
| Where is MANGKHUT (OMPONG)? | As of 5:00 AM PhT today, September 15…2100 GMT. The center was located overland or over the eastern part of Northern Abra (near 18.2°N 121.5°E), about 23 km southwest of Aparri, Cagayan or 96 km east of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte |
| How strong is it? | Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 220 kph near the center…Gustiness: 270 kph. |
| Past Movement (06 hrs) | West-Northwest @ 31 kph, across Northern Abra-Ilocos Norte Area. |
| Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s) | :: Currently Overland. |
| What Philippine areas will be directly affected? | Moderate to Extreme Rains (30 to more than 100 mm expected): >>Northern & Central Luzon – Today. Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected): |
| Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas | :: Whole Coastal Areas of Eastern, Northern and Central Luzon – Today. |
| 1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary** | SATURDAY AFTERNOON: Emerges over the West Philippine Sea while weakening into a Typhoon…about 124 km west-northwest of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte [2PM Sept 15: 18.8°N 119.6°E @ 205kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH. SUNDAY EARLY MORNING: Continues to weaken as it exits the northwestern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), on its way to Southern China…about 386 km southeast of Hong Kong, China [2AM Sept 16: 20.0°N 116.8°E @ 190kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH. **Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time. |
| Other Storm Info | > 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 320 mm [Light to Extreme] > Minimum Central Pressure: 926 millibars (hPa) > Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 815 km (Medium) > Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 270 km from the center |
| Additional Information | Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Sat September 15, 2018 Location of Center/Eye: Near 18.2°N Lat 121.5°E Lon Distance 1: 70 km NNW of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan Distance 2: 76 km WSW of Santa Ana, Cagayan Distance 3: 126 km S of Calayan Island, Cagayan Distance 4: 137 km ENE of Vigan City, Ilocos Sur Distance 5: 406 km N of Metro Manila 24 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 20.0°N 116.8°E (TY) |
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information. | |
Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines
Posted by: T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com
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