STY HINNAMNOR-TD GARDO StormWatch No. 01

STY HINNAMNOR-TD GARDO STORMWATCH NO. 01 Issued at: 2:00 PM PhT (06:00 GMT) Wednesday, 31 August 2022 Next update: 2:00 PM PhT (06:00 GMT) Thursday, 01 September 2022
Current Status and Outlook	A small Super Typhoon with the global name "Hinnamnor" passing near Okinawa is about to enter the Northern Border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). Meanwhile, alongside to its south a disorganized Tropical Depression with local name "Gardo" is having a binary interaction (aka. Fujiwhara Effect) and may eventually be absorbed into the circulation of Hinnamnor within the next 24 to 48 hours. Within the next 3 days (Sept 1-3), the presence of these two tropical cyclones will enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) across Luzon, MiMaRoPa and Western Visayas incl. Sulu Archipelago. Scattered to occasional rains with thunderstorms especially in the afternoon and evening will be expected across the above monsoon-affected areas.
Where is HINNAMNOR?	As of 11:00 AM PhT today, August 31…0300 GMT: Location of Center: Along the southern coastal waters of Okinawa, Japan (near 25.7°N 129.6°E) Distance 1: 811 km east of Taipei, Taiwan Distance 2: 920 km east-northeast of Taitung, Taiwan Distance 3: 971 km northeast of Basco, Batanes
Where is GARDO?	As of 11:00 AM PhT today, August 31…0300 GMT: Location of Center: Over the southeastern portion of the North Philippine Sea (near 20.8°N 132.3°E) Distance 1: 609 km south-southeast of Super Typhoon Hinnamnor Distance 2: 1,094 km east-northeast of Santa Ana, Cagayan Distance 3: 1,074 km east of Basco, Batanes
How strong are they?	Hinnamnor's Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 250 kph near the center…Gustiness: 305 kph. Gardo's Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 55 kph near the center…Gustiness: 75 kph.
Past Movements (06 hrs)	Hinnamnor: West-Southwest @ 24 kph, across the North Philippine Sea. Gardo: North @ 09 kph, across the North Philippine Sea.
Forecast Highlights	Super Typhoon Hinnamnor and Tropical Depression Gardo will not directly affect any parts of the Philippines. So, no Philippine landfall is expected. However, the outer rainbands of Hinnamnor will bring cloudy skies with rain showers and thunderstorms to the Batanes and Babuyan Group of Islands beginning tomorrow through Saturday (Sept 03). The seas around Extreme Northern Luzon will be rough and dangerous to small seacrafts. STY Hinnamnor will be named domestically by PAGASA as "Henry" once  it enters the PAR within the next few hours.   Between Sept 1-3, STY Hinnamnor will slow down its southerly track and likely to remain quasi-stationary over the North Philippine Sea. Meanwhile, TD Gardo will be completely absorbed into the circulation of Hinnamnor therefore losing its characteristics being a Tropical Cyclone. These systems will enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) and could bring scattered to occasional rains and thunderstorms along the western sections of Luzon & Visayas including NCR & MiMaRoPa beginning tomorrow through Sunday (Sept 04). Hinnamnor is Forecast to Exit PAR:  Saturday Night or Sunday Morning (Sept. 03-04).
This StormWatch is valid for the next 24 hours.  Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)

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Severe Tropical Storm FLORITA (MA-ON) Advisory No. 08

SEVERE TROPICAL STORM FLORITA (MA-ON) ADVISORY NO. 08 Issued at: 2:00 AM PhT (18:00 GMT) Wednesday, 24 August 2022 Next update: 2:00 PM PhT (06:00 GMT) Wednesday, 24 August 2022
Current Status & Outlook	Severe Tropical Storm FLORITA (MA-ON) continues to weaken while accelerating west-northwestward across the West Philippine Sea, and is about to exit the northwestern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).  Improving weather conditions will be expected today across Northern Luzon as the system moves farther away.  24-hr Outlook: STS FLORITA (MA-ON) is forecast to reorganize while over the South China Sea this morning, and could become a Category 1 Typhoon with winds of 120 kph later tonight. Meanwhile, the enhanced Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) will continue to bring scattered to occasional rains with some severe thunderstorms across the western sections of Luzon including Metropolitan Manila, MiMaRoPa, Sulu Archipelago, & Western Visayas today. Risk of flooding and landslides will remain Medium to High.
Where is FLORITA (MA-ON)?	As of 11:00 PM PhT last night, August 23…1500 GMT: Location of Center/Eye: Over the northern part of the West Philippine Sea (near 18.9°N 119.6°E) Distance 1: 131 km northwest of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte Distance 2: 170 km north-northwest of Vigan City, Ilocos Sur Distance 3: 224 km west-northwest of Aparri, Cagayan
How strong is it?	Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 95 kph near the center…Gustiness: 120 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs)	West-Northwest @ 26 kph, towards Southern China.
Potential Philippine Major Landfall Area(s)	None.
What Philippine areas will be directly affected?	Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs): None.  Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected): None.
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+	Coastal & Beachfront Areas of Ilocos Region. +Waves of 1 to 3 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.
2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**	WEDNESDAY EVENING: Becomes a Typhoon as it maintains its WNW track across the South China Sea...about 283 km SE of Hong Kong, China [8PM Aug 24: 20.4°N 115.8°E @ 120 kph].  Forecast Confidence: MEDIUM THURSDAY EVENING: Begins to make landfall over Yangjiang, Southern China…about 466 km West of Hong Kong, China [8PM Aug 25: 22.0°N 109.6°E @ 95 kph].  Forecast Confidence: LOW **Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Other Storm's Meteorological Information	24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 200 mm [Light to Heavy] Minimum Central Pressure: 985 millibars (hPa) Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Average (915 km) Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Average (610 km) Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 45 km outward from the center
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2k)

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) Integrated Multi-Agency Tracks

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PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL

Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (https://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tropical-cyclone/severe-weather-bulletin)

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Severe Tropical Storm FLORITA (MA-ON) Advisory No. 07

SEVERE TROPICAL STORM FLORITA (MA-ON) ADVISORY NO. 07 Issued at: 8:00 PM PhT (12:00 GMT) Tuesday, 23 August 2022 Next update: 2:00 AM PhT (18:00 GMT) Wednesday, 24 August 2022
Current Status & Outlook	Severe Tropical Storm FLORITA (MA-ON) has weakened slightly while accelerating over the landmass of Northern Luzon…now over Mt. Dinawanan or very near Carasi, Ilocos Norte, approaching Laoag City. Its rainbands will continue to bring stormy weather across Ilocos and Cordillera Regions tonight. Life-threatening flash floods and landslides are likely to occur during the storm's passage. Please take all necessary precautions. 24-hr Outlook: STS FLORITA (MA-ON) is forecast to weaken further and will eventually reach the West Philippine Sea tonight. By tomorrow morning, FLORITA will maintain its WNW track, leave the northwestern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), and re-intensify in the afternoon. Meanwhile, the enhanced Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) will continue to bring scattered to occasional rains with some severe thunderstorms across Central Luzon including Metropolitan Manila, MiMaRoPa, CaLaBaRZon, Sulu Archipelago, & Western Visayas today. Risk of flooding and landslides will remain Medium to High.
Where is FLORITA (MA-ON)?	As of 5:00 PM PhT today, August 23…0900 GMT: Location of Center/Eye: In the vicinity of Mt. Dinawanan, Ilocos Norte (near 18.2°N 120.9°E) Distance 1: 32 km east of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte Distance 2: 89 km northeast of Vigan City, Ilocos Sur Distance 3: 109 km northwest of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan
How strong is it?	Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 100 kph near the center…Gustiness: 130 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs)	West-Northwest @ 25 kph, across Ilocos Norte.
Potential Philippine Major Landfall Area(s)	None. Cyclone remains over land.
What Philippine areas will be directly affected?	Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs): Ilocos & Cordillera Regions – between 8PM today to 8PM tomorrow, Wednesday (Aug 24). Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected): Ilocos Provinces – Tonight.
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+	Coastal & Beachfront Areas of Ilocos Region. +Waves of 1 to 3 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.
3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**	WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Moving WNW across the South China Sea, outside of PAR…re-intensifies back to near-Typhoon strength...about 390 km WNW of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte [2PM Aug 24: 19.6°N 117.2°E @ 110 kph].  Forecast Confidence: MEDIUM THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Makes landfall along the western part of Guangdong Province (Southern China) as a Category 1 Typhoon…about 293 km WSW of Hong Kong, China [2PM Aug 25: 21.6°N 111.4°E @ 120 kph].  Forecast Confidence: LOW FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Dissipating over Northern Vietnam, just a minimal Tropical Storm (TS)…about 936 km West of Hong Kong, China [2PM Aug 26: 22.8°N 105.0°E @ 65 kph].  Forecast Confidence: LOW **Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Other Storm's Meteorological Information	24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 200 mm [Light to Heavy] Minimum Central Pressure: 985 millibars (hPa) Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Average (590 km) Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Average (610 km) Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 95 km outward from the center
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2k)

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) Integrated Multi-Agency Tracks

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PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL

Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (https://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tropical-cyclone/severe-weather-bulletin)

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Severe Tropical Storm FLORITA (MA-ON) Advisory No. 06

SEVERE TROPICAL STORM FLORITA (MA-ON) ADVISORY NO. 06 Issued at: 2:00 PM PhT (06:00 GMT) Tuesday, 23 August 2022 Next update: 8:00 PM PhT (12:00 GMT) Tuesday, 23 August 2022
Current Status & Outlook	Severe Tropical Storm FLORITA (MA-ON) at near-Typhoon strength has made landfall over Maconacon, Isabela at around 10:30 AM this morning…now moving across Cagayan and Apayao. Its rainbands will continue to bring heavy to extreme rainfall with gusty winds across much of Northern Luzon. Life-threatening flash floods and landslides are likely to occur during the storm's passage. Please take all necessary precautions. 24-hr Outlook: STS FLORITA (MA-ON) is forecast to weaken slightly and will continue traversing Extreme Northern Luzon, passing over Apayao this afternoon, and will be along the northern portion of Ilocos Norte early this evening, or about 13 km west of Pagudpud at 8PM. By early tomorrow morning, FLORITA will weaken slightly while emerging over the West Philippine Sea. It will eventually leave the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by mid-morning tomorrow. Meanwhile, its trough or extension together with the enhanced Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) will continue to bring scattered to occasional rains with severe thunderstorms across the Whole of Luzon including Metropolitan Manila, MiMaRoPa, & Western Visayas today. Risk of flooding and landslides will be Medium to High.
Where is FLORITA (MA-ON)?	As of 11:00 AM PhT today, August 23…0300 GMT: Location of Center/Eye: In the vicinity of Maconancon, Isabela (near 17.5°N 122.1°E) Distance 1: 41 km east-southeast of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan Distance 2: 107 km south-southeast of Aparri, Cagayan Distance 3: 177 km east-southeast of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte
How strong is it?	Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 110 kph near the center…Gustiness: 140 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs)	Northwest @ 19 kph, across the rugged terrain of Cagayan, Apayao & Ilocos Norte.
Potential Philippine Major Landfall Area(s)	None...cyclone now over land
What Philippine areas will be directly affected?	Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs): Northern Luzon – between 2PM today to 2PM tomorrow, Wednesday (Aug 24). Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected): Cagayan, Apayao, & Ilocos Norte – Today until Early Wednesday morning.
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+	Coastal & Beachfront Areas of Extreme Northern Luzon. +Waves of 1 to 3 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.
3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**	WEDNESDAY MORNING: Exits the northwestern border of the PAR…re-intensifies back to near-Typhoon strength while accelerating WNW…about 257 km WNW of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte [8AM Aug 24: 19.2°N 118.4°E @ 110 kph].  Forecast Confidence: MEDIUM THURSDAY MORNING: Prepares to make landfall over Guangdong Province (Southern China), attains Typhoon classification…about 144 km SW of Hong Kong, China [8AM Aug 25: 20.7°N 115.0°E @ 130 kph].    Forecast Confidence: MEDIUM FRIDAY MORNING: Moving across Northern Vietnam as downgraded Tropical Storm (TS)…about 823 km West of Hong Kong, China [8AM Aug 26: 22.6°N 106.1°E @ 65 kph].  Forecast Confidence: LOW **Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Other Storm's Meteorological Information	24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 350 mm [Light to Extreme] Minimum Central Pressure: 985 millibars (hPa) Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Small (495 km) Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Average (550 km) Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 100 km outward from the center
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2k)

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) Integrated Multi-Agency Tracks

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PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL

Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (https://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tropical-cyclone/severe-weather-bulletin)

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Severe Tropical Storm FLORITA (MA-ON) Advisory No. 05

SEVERE TROPICAL STORM FLORITA (MA-ON) ADVISORY NO. 05 Issued at: 8:00 AM PhT (00:00 GMT) Tuesday, 23 August 2022 Next update: 2:00 PM PhT (06:00 GMT) Tuesday, 23 August 2022
Current Status & Outlook	FLORITA (MA-ON) has been upgraded into a Severe Tropical Storm (STS) and is about to make landfall over Northern Cagayan within the next few hours…now brushing the coastal areas of  Eastern Isabela and Northern Cagayan.  24-hr Outlook: STS FLORITA (MA-ON) is forecast to cross Northern Cagayan, passing very close to Tuguegarao City this afternoon, and will traverse Kalinga, Apayao and Ilocos Norte tonight. By early tomorrow morning, FLORITA will emerge over the West Philippine Sea and intensify Its rainbands will bring heavy to extreme rainfall and gusty winds across much of Northern Luzon and some portions of Central Luzon within the next 24 to 36 hours. Life-threatening flash floods and landslides are likely to occur during the storm's passage. Please take all necessary precautions. Meanwhile, its trough or extension together with the enhanced Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) will continue to bring scattered to occasional rains with severe thunderstorms across the Whole of Luzon including Metropolitan Manila, MiMaRoPa, Visayas, & Western Mindanao today. Risk of flooding and landslides will be Medium to High.
Where is FLORITA (MA-ON)?	As of 5:00 AM PhT today, August 23…2100 GMT: Location of Center/Eye: Along the Coast Waters of Palanan, Isabela (near 16.8°N 122.9°E) Distance 1: 57 km east-southeast of Palanan, Isabela Distance 2: 110 km northeast of Casiguran, Aurora Distance 3: 154 km southeast of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan
How strong is it?	Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 95 kph near the center…Gustiness: 120 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs)	North-Northwest @ 12 kph, towards the Coastal Areas of  Eastern Isabela & Northern Cagayan.
Potential Philippine Major Landfall Area(s)	Along Northern Cagayan Area – between 8 AM to 12 PM today, Tuesday (Aug 23) with High Strike Probability of >90%.
What Philippine areas will be directly affected?	Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs): Northern Luzon – between 8AM today to 8AM tomorrow, Wednesday (Aug 24). Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected): Eastern Isabela and Northern Cagayan – Today.
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+	Coastal & Beachfront Areas of Extreme Northern Luzon. +Waves of 1 to 3 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.
3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**	WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING: Emerges over the West Philippine Sea as it re-intensifies to near-Typhoon strength while moving WNW…about 133 km WNW of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte [2AM Aug 24: 18.8°N 119.5°E @ 110 kph].  Forecast Confidence: MEDIUM THURSDAY EARLY MORNING: Intensifies into a Typhoon (TY) while outside of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) or over the South China Sea…about 210 km SSE of Hong Kong, China [2AM Aug 25: 20.7°N 115.0°E @ 130 kph].    Forecast Confidence: MEDIUM FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Over Southern China, weakens rapidly into a TS…about 526 km West of Hong Kong, China [2AM Aug 26: 22.7°N 109.0°E @ 65 kph].  Forecast Confidence: LOW **Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Other Storm's Meteorological Information	24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 350 mm [Light to Extreme] Minimum Central Pressure: 990 millibars (hPa) Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Average (700 km) Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Average (550 km) Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts):  35 km outward from the center
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2k)

O

Typhoon2000 (T2K) Integrated Multi-Agency Tracks

O

PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL

Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (https://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tropical-cyclone/severe-weather-bulletin)

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