This weather updates section provides "easy-to-understand" tropical cyclone information over the South China Sea and Northwest Pacific Basin (from Malay Peninsula - 100° E up to the International Date Line - 180°). This website is updated every 6 hours (12pm, 6pm, and 6am Philippine Time ~ GMT+8) during times of tropical cyclone activity except 12am Philippine Time (to be included if Tropical Cyclone will pass over the Philippine Islands or close to Bicol Region).

The tropical cyclone information available on this site are taken from different online meteorological agencies from around the world-wide web namely: WeatherPhilippines Foundation Inc., Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical & Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA), U.S. Navy's Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) based in Pearl Harbor, Hawaii, United Nations' Regional Specialized Meteorological Centre (RSMC) Tokyo-Typhoon Centre (Japan Meteorological Agency), & Hong Kong Observatory.

Tuesday, August 23, 2022

Severe Tropical Storm FLORITA (MA-ON) Advisory No. 06


Severe Tropical Storm FLORITA (MA-ON) Advisory No. 06

SEVERE TROPICAL STORM FLORITA (MA-ON) ADVISORY NO. 06

Issued at: 2:00 PM PhT (06:00 GMT) Tuesday, 23 August 2022
Next update: 8:00 PM PhT (12:00 GMT) Tuesday, 23 August 2022
Current Status & OutlookSevere Tropical Storm FLORITA (MA-ON) at near-Typhoon strength has made landfall over Maconacon, Isabela at around 10:30 AM this morning…now moving across Cagayan and Apayao. Its rainbands will continue to bring heavy to extreme rainfall with gusty winds across much of Northern Luzon. Life-threatening flash floods and landslides are likely to occur during the storm's passage. Please take all necessary precautions.

24-hr Outlook: STS FLORITA (MA-ON) is forecast to weaken slightly and will continue traversing Extreme Northern Luzon, passing over Apayao this afternoon, and will be along the northern portion of Ilocos Norte early this evening, or about 13 km west of Pagudpud at 8PM. By early tomorrow morning, FLORITA will weaken slightly while emerging over the West Philippine Sea. It will eventually leave the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by mid-morning tomorrow.

Meanwhile, its trough or extension together with the enhanced Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) will continue to bring scattered to occasional rains with severe thunderstorms across the Whole of Luzon including Metropolitan Manila, MiMaRoPa, & Western Visayas today. Risk of flooding and landslides will be Medium to High.

Where is FLORITA (MA-ON)?As of 11:00 AM PhT today, August 23…0300 GMT:

  • Location of Center/Eye: In the vicinity of Maconancon, Isabela (near 17.5°N 122.1°E)
  • Distance 1: 41 km east-southeast of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan
  • Distance 2: 107 km south-southeast of Aparri, Cagayan
  • Distance 3: 177 km east-southeast of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte
How strong is it?Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 110 kph near the center…Gustiness: 140 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs)Northwest @ 19 kph, across the rugged terrain of Cagayan, Apayao & Ilocos Norte.
Potential Philippine Major Landfall Area(s)
  • None...cyclone now over land
What Philippine areas will be directly affected?Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):

  • Northern Luzon – between 2PM today to 2PM tomorrow, Wednesday (Aug 24).

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

  • Cagayan, Apayao, & Ilocos Norte – Today until Early Wednesday morning.
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+
  • Coastal & Beachfront Areas of Extreme Northern Luzon.

+Waves of 1 to 3 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**
  • WEDNESDAY MORNING: Exits the northwestern border of the PARre-intensifies back to near-Typhoon strength while accelerating WNW…about 257 km WNW of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte [8AM Aug 24: 19.2°N 118.4°E @ 110 kph].  Forecast ConfidenceMEDIUM
  • THURSDAY MORNING: Prepares to make landfall over Guangdong Province (Southern China), attains Typhoon classification…about 144 km SW of Hong Kong, China [8AM Aug 25: 20.7°N 115.0°E @ 130 kph]   Forecast ConfidenceMEDIUM
  • FRIDAY MORNING: Moving across Northern Vietnam as downgraded Tropical Storm (TS)…about 823 km West of Hong Kong, China [8AM Aug 26: 22.6°N 106.1°E @ 65 kph].  Forecast ConfidenceLOW

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm's Meteorological Information
  • 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 350 mm [Light to Extreme]
  • Minimum Central Pressure: 985 millibars (hPa)
  • Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Small (495 km)
  • Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Average (550 km)
  • Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 100 km outward from the center
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2k)

O

Typhoon2000 (T2K) Integrated Multi-Agency Tracks

O

PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL


Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (https://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tropical-cyclone/severe-weather-bulletin)

--
You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Typhoon2000 (T2k) Philippine Storm Updates" group.
To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to t2k-philippine-storm-updates+unsubscribe@googlegroups.com.
To view this discussion on the web visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/t2k-philippine-storm-updates/CACn9r4s-MrKrGcjjMaLWOGh%2BOrD2ptoQrw-VSpbgbiC-sqUHsA%40mail.gmail.com.

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.