This weather updates section provides "easy-to-understand" tropical cyclone information over the South China Sea and Northwest Pacific Basin (from Malay Peninsula - 100° E up to the International Date Line - 180°). This website is updated every 6 hours (12pm, 6pm, and 6am Philippine Time ~ GMT+8) during times of tropical cyclone activity except 12am Philippine Time (to be included if Tropical Cyclone will pass over the Philippine Islands or close to Bicol Region).

The tropical cyclone information available on this site are taken from different online meteorological agencies from around the world-wide web namely: WeatherPhilippines Foundation Inc., Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical & Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA), U.S. Navy's Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) based in Pearl Harbor, Hawaii, United Nations' Regional Specialized Meteorological Centre (RSMC) Tokyo-Typhoon Centre (Japan Meteorological Agency), & Hong Kong Observatory.

Wednesday, July 6, 2016

Super Typhoon NEPARTAK (BUTCHOY) Update Number 002

 

Super Typhoon NEPARTAK (BUTCHOY) Update Number 002


SUPER TYPHOON NEPARTAK (BUTCHOY) UPDATE NUMBER 002
Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Wednesday 06 July 2016
Next Update: Wednesday Evening, 06 July 2016
            

 

Current Status

NEPARTAK rapidly becomes a Super Typhoon as it races closer to Taiwan.  This powerful typhoon will gradually enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) and bring moderate to heavy "on-and-off" rains and gusty winds across MiMaRoPa, Western Visayas and Western Mindanao.

 

Where is Nepartak (Butchoy)?

As of 5:00 AM PhT today, July 06...2100 GMT.  The eye was located over the southern part of the North Philippine Sea (near 18.2N 130.9E), about 919 km east of Santa Ana, Cagayan or 968 km east-southeast of Basco, Batanes.

 

How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 220 kph near the center...Gustiness: 280 kph

 

Where is it heading?

West-Northwest to Northwest  @ 33 kph, towards Taiwan.

 

What areas will be most affected?

Taiwan including Yaeyama Islands - Beginning Thursday afternoon (Jul 7) through Friday afternoon  (Jul 8).

 

Storm Surge Info

None.

2-Day Forecast Outlook

TY NEPARTAK (BUTCHOY) is expected to maintain its west-northwest track during the next 24 hours, turning slightly to the northwest throughout the remainder of the outlook period. On the forecast track, NEPARTAK (BUTCHOY) will traverse the western part of the North Philippine Sea through Thursday afternoon (Jul 7), and shall be just along the coast of Eastern Taiwan by early Friday morning (Jul 8).

  
TY NEPARTAK (BUTCHOY) is forecast to further intensify during the next 24 hours before it weakens throughout the outlook period.

 

3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary*

THURSDAY EARLY MORNING: Reaches its peak intensity while moving across the western part of the North Philippine Sea...about 378 km east-northeast of Basco, Batanes [2AM JUL 07: 21.0N 125.6E @ 250kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.

 

FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Starts to weaken as it bears down along the eastern shoreline of Taiwan...about 90 km south of Hualien City, Taiwan [2AM JUL 08: 23.2N 121.7E @ 215kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.

           

SATURDAY EARLY MORNING: Makes its second landfall over Fujian Province, China…weakens rapidly into a minimal typhoon...about 93 km south-southwest of Fuzhou City, China [2AM JUL 09: 25.4N 118.8E @ 155kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.

 

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

 


Other Storm Info

 

- 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 25 to 120 mm
  [Moderate to Heavy]

- Minimum Central Pressure: 914 millibars (hPa)

- Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 475
  km (Small)

- Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 140
  km from the center

 

 

Additional Distances

 

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Wed Jul 06, 2015
Location of Center: Near 18.2º N Lat 130.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 961 km ENE of Casiguran, Aurora
Distance 2: 965 km ENE of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan
Distance 3: 982 km EAST of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 4: 1123 km ENE of Metro Manila
Distance 5: 1222 km SE of Taipei, Taiwan

 

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Weather.com.ph

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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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