This weather updates section provides "easy-to-understand" tropical cyclone information over the South China Sea and Northwest Pacific Basin (from Malay Peninsula - 100° E up to the International Date Line - 180°). This website is updated every 6 hours (12pm, 6pm, and 6am Philippine Time ~ GMT+8) during times of tropical cyclone activity except 12am Philippine Time (to be included if Tropical Cyclone will pass over the Philippine Islands or close to Bicol Region).

The tropical cyclone information available on this site are taken from different online meteorological agencies from around the world-wide web namely: WeatherPhilippines Foundation Inc., Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical & Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA), U.S. Navy's Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) based in Pearl Harbor, Hawaii, United Nations' Regional Specialized Meteorological Centre (RSMC) Tokyo-Typhoon Centre (Japan Meteorological Agency), & Hong Kong Observatory.

Saturday, November 26, 2016

Tropical Storm TOKAGE (MARCE) Update Number 007

 

Tropical Storm TOKAGE (MARCE) Update Number 007


TROPICAL STORM TOKAGE (MARCE) UPDATE NUMBER 007
Issued at: 6:30 AM PhT (22:30 GMT) Saturday 26 November 2016
Next Update: Saturday Afternoon,  26 November 2016

 

Current Status and Outlook

Tropical Storm TOKAGE (MARCE) has further intensified as it emerges over the West Philippine Sea.

This cyclone is expected to slow down and change its course to the north-northwest at a speed of 15 km/hrthrough the next 24 hours.

Where is Tokage(Marce)?

As of 5:00 AM PhT today, November 26...2100 GMT. The center was located over the eastern midpart of the West Philippine Sea (near 12.9N 118.9E), about 168 km northwest of Coron, Palawan or 243 km west-northwest of San Jose, Occidental Mindoro. 

How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 85 kph near the center...Gustiness: 100 kph.

Where is it heading?

It was moving Northwest @ 28 kph, towards the West Philippine Sea.

Potential Landfall Area(s)

:: None

What Philippine areas will be most affected?*

 

*Where Damaging Winds of  >100 km/hr will be expected.

:: None

Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+

:: None

3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

SUNDAY EARLY MORNING: Intensifies further as it turns north-northwest towards the northern part of the West Philippine Sea, in the vicinity of Scarborough Shoal…about 255 km west of Iba, Zambales [2AM NOV 27: 15.5N 117.6E @ 95kph]. Confidence Level:  LOW.

MONDAY EARLY MORNING: Maintains its strength as it further slows down and turns northward…about 319 km west of San Fernando City, La Union [2AM NOV 28: 17.0N 117.4E @ 95kph].  Confidence Level:  LOW.

TUESDAY EARLY MORNING: Starts to weaken and slowly drifts southwestward…about 391 km west of San Fernando City, La Union [2AM NOV 29: 16.5N 116.7E @ 75kph].  Confidence Level:  LOW.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info


- 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 25 to 250 mm [Moderate to Heavy]

- Minimum Central Pressure: 989 millibars (hPa)

- Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 360 km (Very Small / Midget)

- Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts):None.

Additional Distances


Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Sat Nov 26, 2016
Location of Center/Eye: Near 12.9º N Lat 118.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 262 km NW of 
Amanpulo, Pamalican Is.
Distance 2: 197 km NNW of 
El Nido, Palawan
Distance 3: 170 km SW of Lubang Island, Occ. Mindoro
Distance 4: 254 km SW of 
Subic Bay, Zambales 
Distance 5: 293 km SW of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: Leonilo C. Millanes for Weather.com.ph

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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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