Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 01W [AMANG] StormWatch No. 03

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (LPA) 01W [AMANG] STORMWATCH NO. 03 Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Monday 21 January 2019 Next update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT), Tuesday 22 January 2019
Current Status and Outlook	Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 01W [AMANG] has moved somewhat northward and is just along the southeastern coast of Eastern Samar (just north of the Town of Guiuan).  The system's thick rainbands has been elongated and dislodged north of its center, just affecting Eastern Visayas and the eastern coastal areas of Bicol Peninsula. Through the next 24 hrs, the LPA is expected to be pushed by the strong surge of the Northeast Monsoonal Flow (Amihan) and dissipate along Central Visayas.  The combination of the LPA's rainbands and the enhanced Northeast Monsoon (Amihan) will bring moderate to heavy to at times extreme rainfall along Eastern Visayas and the eastern coastal areas of Bicol Region. These rains may produce flooding and landslides along hazard-risk areas. Please take all necessary precautions.
Where is LPA 01W (AMANG)?	As of 5:00 AM PhT today, January 21…2100 GMT. The center was located along the southeastern coast of Eastern Samar [near 11.2°N 125.7°E], about 06 km northeast of Salcedo, Eastern Samar or 18 km north of Guiuan, Eastern Samar.
How strong is it?	Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 35 kph near the center…Gustiness: 50 kph
Past Movement (06 hrs)	North-Northwest Slowly, towards the Southeastern Coast of Eastern Samar.
Forecast Highlights	This LPA is likely to dissipate over land, along Central Visayas within the next 24 hours. The WPF's 24-hr Forecast (Jan 22) shows its low-level center being pushed by the cold surge of the Northeast Monsoon (Amihan) towards the southwest and dissipating over land, along Central Visayas Area.  The confidence of this forecast is at LOW (<35% chance). The LPA together with the enhanced Northeast Monsoon (Amihan) will generate moderate to heavy to at times extreme rainfall across Eastern Visayas (30 to >100 mm) and along the eastern coastal areas of Bicol Region (30 to 50 mm) today. These rains may cause flash floods, landslides, mudslides along the hazard-prone areas of the affected areas. Please take all necessary precautions.  The next WPF StormWatch Update will be issued after 24 hours.
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

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Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 01W [AMANG] StormWatch No. 02

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (LPA) 01W [AMANG] STORMWATCH NO. 02 Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Sunday 20 January 2019 Next update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT), Monday 21 January 2019
Current Status and Outlook	Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 01W [AMANG] remains disorganized while over the South Philippine Sea, with most of its rainbands displaced to the west and north of the center…expected to accelerate west-northwestward and could make landfall along Northern Caraga tonight.  The combination of the LPA's rainbands and the enhanced Northeast Monsoon (Amihan) will bring moderate to heavy to at times extreme rainfall along Northern and Northeastern Mindanao, Eastern and Central Visayas, and Bicol Region. These rains is likely to produce flooding and landslides along hazard-risk areas particularly along areas once affected by TD 35W (USMAN). Please take all necessary precautions.
Where is LPA 01W (AMANG)?	As of 5:00 AM PhT today, January 20…2100 GMT. The center was located along the western part of the South Philippine Sea [near 7.6°N 129.3°E], about 331 km east-southeast of Bislig City, Surigao Del Sur or 480 km east-southeast of Surigao City, Surigao Del Norte.
How strong is it?	Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 35 kph near the center…Gustiness: 50 kph
Past Movement (06 hrs)	West-Northwest @ 19 km/hr, towards the Northern Caraga.
Forecast Highlights	This LPA could still intensify within the next 12 hours, and become a Tropical Depression (TD). The WPF's 12 to 24-hr Forecast (Jan 20-21) shows it making landfall along Surigao Del Norte-Dinagat Area later tonight, and may pass over Southern Leyte-Camotes Islands Area on Monday (Jan 21).  The confidence of this forecast is at MEDIUM (35-65% chance). The Day 2 to 3 Forecast (Jan 22-23) shows LPA 01W just lingering along the Camotes Sea-Camotes Islands Area early Tuesday morning, and is expected to dissipate as it drifts SW-ward across Cebu Strait through Wednesday morning. Forecast confidence is at LOW to MEDIUM (<35-65% chance). This LPA together with the enhanced Northeast Monsoon (Amihan) will generate moderate to heavy to at times extreme rainfall from 30 to >100 mm across Northern and Eastern Mindanao today, and across Eastern & Central Visayas and Bicol Region beginning Today through Tuesday (Jan 20-22). These rains may likely cause flash floods, landslides, mudslides along the hazard-prone areas of the affected areas. Please take all necessary precautions.  The next WPF StormWatch Update will be issued after 24 hours or earlier (if the LPA, develops into a TD).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

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Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 01W StormWatch No. 01

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (LPA) 01W STORMWATCH NO. 01 Issued at: 7:45 AM PhT (23:45 GMT) Saturday 19 January 2019 Next update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT), Sunday 20 January 2019
Current Status and Outlook	Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 01W which has been traveling across the southern parts of Micronesia during the past two weeks is now expected to enter the southeastern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) today.  This LPA is likely to become a Tropical Depression (TD) within the next 06 to 24 hours, and could affect Northeastern Mindanao, Visayas and Bicol Region beginning tomorrow, Sunday (Jan 20) through Tuesday (Jan 22). Heavy rains associated with this LPA and the enhanced Northeast Monsoon will again  be expected along the above mentioned areas. This LPA is still far to directly affect any part of the country within the next 24 to 48 hours.
Where is LPA 01W?	As of 5:00 AM PhT today, January 19…2100 GMT. The center was located approaching the Republic of Palau (Federated States of Micronesia) [near 7.8°N 136.1°E], about 184 km east-northeast of Koror, Palau or 1,073 km east of Bislig City, Surigao Del Sur.
How strong is it?	Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 35 kph near the center…Gustiness: 50 kph
Past Movement (06 hrs)	Westward @ 19 km/hr, towards the South Philippine Sea.
Forecast Highlights	This LPA is expected to intensify within the next 06 to 24 hours, and could become a Tropical Depression (TD). The WPF's Day 1 to 2 Forecast (Jan 20-21) shows it making landfall along Surigao Del Norte-Dinagat Area by tomorrow, Sunday afternoon, and may pass in between Southern Leyte-Bohol-Northern Cebu Area on Monday (Jan 21).  The confidence of this forecast is at MEDIUM (35-65% chance). The Day 3 to 4 Forecast (Jan 22-23) shows LPA 01W just lingering or remaining almost stationary along Central Visayas and could dissipate over land. Forecast confidence is at MEDIUM (35-65% chance). This LPA together with the enhanced Northeast Monsoon (Amihan) will generate moderate to heavy rains of 30 to 100 mm across Northern and Eastern Mindanao today, and across Visayas and Bicol Region beginning Sunday through Tuesday (Jan 20-22). These rains may likely cause flash floods, landslides, mudslides along the hazard-prone areas of the affected areas. Please take all necessary precautions. It will be named locally by PAGASA as "AMANG" once it enters the PAR and becomes a TD. The next StormWatch Update will be issued after 24 hours or earlier.
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

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