Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 92W StormWatch No. 01

Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 92W StormWatch No. 01

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (LPA) 92W STORMWATCH NO. 01 Issued at: 1:00 AM PhT (17:00 GMT) Saturday, 07 November 2020 Next update: 1:00 AM PhT (17:00 GMT) Sunday, 08 November 2020
Current Status and Outlook	A broad Tropical Disturbance (aka. LPA) over the Philippine Sea with ID number "92W" – has been moving rapidly towards the Visayas.  This system could become a Tropical Depression (TD) before or upon crossing the Visayas later tonight bringing rainy conditions across the Bicol Region, Visayas, MiMaRoPa, Northern & Northeastern Mindanao this weekend.
Where is LPA 92W?	As of 11:00 PM PhT last night, November 06…1500 GMT: Location of Center: Over the southernmost part of the Central Philippine Sea (near 10.4°N 130.8°E) Distance 1: 559 km east of Guiuan, Eastern Samar Distance 2: 645 km east of Tacloban City, Leyte Distance 3:  816 km east-southeast of Masbate City, Masbate
How strong is it?	Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 30 kph near the center…Gustiness: 40 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs)	West @ 52 kph, towards the Visayas.
Forecast Highlights	LPA 92W is expected to intensify within the next 12 to 48 hours due to conducive atmospheric environment along its path. However, despite increasing upper-level winds (wind shear) aloft,  this disturbance could become a Tropical Depression (TD) either before or during its passage across the Visayas later this evening or early Sunday (Nov 08).  Kindly refer to our attached StormWatch Track for the forecast wind speeds of this cyclone. Current Typhoon Global Models forecast it to traverse Samar, Northern Leyte, Masbate, Northern Panay, & Calamian Group beginning early this evening until Sunday evening (Nov. 08). If ever LPA 92W becomes a Tropical Depression (TD), it will be named domestically by PAGASA as "TONYO."
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for T2K

--
You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Typhoon2000.com Philippine Storm Updates" group.
To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to typhoon2000com-philippine-storm-updates+unsubscribe@googlegroups.com.
To view this discussion on the web visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/typhoon2000com-philippine-storm-updates/fd9e4102-1969-4807-85c8-4a877f2d8e23o%40googlegroups.com.