Typhoon MALAKAS (GENER) Update Number 002

 

Typhoon MALAKAS (GENER) Update Number 002

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TYPHOON MALAKAS (GENER) UPDATE NUMBER 002 Issued at: 6:30 PM PhT (10:30 GMT) Thursday 15 September 2016 Next Update: Friday Early Morning, 16 September 2016

Current Status and Outlook Typhoon MALAKAS (GENER) has maintained its strength as it moves across the open waters of the East Philippine Sea. This typhoon is forecast to move Northwestward at 17kph across the northern part of the Philippine Sea within the next 24 hours and will just pass to the east of the Batanes Group of Islands well-within the western edge of its circulation. Where is Malakas(Gener)? As of 5:00 PM PhT today, September 15...0900 GMT.The center was located over the northern part of the Central Philippine Sea (near 18.0N 127.4E), about 600km east-northeast of Casiguran, Aurora or 629 km east-southeast of Basco, Batanes. How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 140 kph near the center...Gustiness: 175 kph Where is it heading? It was moving Northwest @ 18 kph, towards the mid-western part of the North Philippine Sea. What Philippine areas will be most affected? Batanes Island Group beginning early morning of Friday, Sep 16, 2016. Storm Surge Info None. 3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary* FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Passing over the East of BashiChannel as it continues to intensify...about 200 km east-northeast of Basco, Batanes [2PM SEP 16: 21.1N 123.8E @ 185kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH. SATURDAY AFTERNOON: Attains its peak wind intensity as it moves North-Northwest just to the east of Taiwan, approaching the Yaeyama Island Chain…about 161 km north-northeast of Hualien, Taiwan [2PM SEP 17: 25.3N 122.3E @ 190kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM. SUNDAY AFTERNOON: Near the Southeastern Coast of China, outside of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). Starts to weaken as it recurves to the North-Northeast…about 240 km east of Wenzhou, China [2PM SEP 18: 27.6N 123.1E @ 165kph]. Confidence Level:HIGH. *Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlookchanges every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while thewind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time. Other Storm Info - 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 25 to 315 mm [Moderate to Extreme] - Minimum Central Pressure: 963 millibars (hPa) - Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 658 km (Small) - Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts):110 km from the center. Additional Distances Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Thu Sep 15, 2016 Location of Center: Near 18.0º N Lat 127.4º E Lon Distance 1: 542 km ENE of Palanan, Isabela Distance 2: 557 km E of Santa Ana, Cagayan Distance 3: 602 km E of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan Distance 4: 610 km E of Aparri, Cagayan  Distance 5: 777 km ENE of Metro Manila Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information. Issued by: Adonis S. Manzan for Weather.com.ph

 

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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>

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