Typhoon MALAKAS (GENER) Update Number 004

 

Typhoon MALAKAS (GENER) Update Number 004

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TYPHOON MALAKAS (GENER) UPDATE NUMBER 004 Issued at: 6:30 AM PhT (22:30 GMT) Friday 16 September 2016 Next Update: Friday Afternoon, 16 September 2016

Current Status and Outlook Typhoon MALAKAS (GENER) has maintained its strength as it accelerates northwestward across the southwestern part of the North Philippine Sea. This typhoon is forecast to move North-Northwest with a decreasing speed of 19 kph across the mid-western part of the North Philippine Sea through the eastern parts of Bashi Channel and East Taiwan Sea within the next 24 hours. It will just pass to the east of the Batanes Group of Islands well within the western-edge of its circulation around noontime today. Where is Malakas(Gener)? As of 5:00 AM PhT today, September 16...2100 GMT.  The center was located over the southwestern part of the North Philippine Sea (near 19.7N 125.2E), about 348 km east-northeast of Santa Ana, Cagayan or 345 km east-southeast of Basco, Batanes.  How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 155 kph near the center...Gustiness: 190 kph Where is it heading? It was moving Northwest @ 26 kph, towards the mid-western part of the North Philippine Sea. What Philippine areas will be most affected?* *Where Damaging Winds of  >100 km/hr will be expected. None.       Storm Surge Info None. 3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary** SATURDAY EARLY MORNING: Passing well to the east of the Bashi Channel through the southeastern part of East Taiwan Sea and intensifying further...about 277 km north-northeast of Basco, Batanes [2AM SEP 17: 22.7N 123.2E @ 200kph]. Confidence Level:  HIGH. SUNDAY EARLY MORNING: Turns North-Northwest to Northward after passing the Yaeyama Islands and exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) as it starts to lose strength …about 150 km northeast of Taipei, Taiwan [2AM SEP 18: 25.8N 122.8E @ 170kph].  Confidence Level:  MEDIUM. MONDAY EARLY MORNING: Slows down as it veers to the Northeast across the East China Sea and further losing strength…about 325 km west-northwest of Naha, Japan [2AM SEP 19: 27.2N 124.6E @ 140kph]. Confidence Level:  LOW. **Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time. Other Storm Info - 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 25 to 250 mm [Moderate to Heavy] - Minimum Central Pressure: 956 millibars (hPa) - Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 595 km (Small) - Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 110 km from the center. Additional Distances Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Fri Sep 16, 2016 Location of Center: Near 19.7º N Lat 125.2º E Lon Distance 1: 403 km ENE of Aparri, Cagayan Distance 2: 433 km ENE of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan Distance 3: 371 km ESE of Itbayat, Batanes Distance 4: 721 km NE of Metro Manila Distance 5: 699 km SSE of Taipei, Taiwan Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information. Issued by: Leonilo C. Millanes for Weather.com.ph

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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>

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