Typhoon MALAKAS (GENER) Update Number 003

 

Typhoon MALAKAS (GENER) Update Number 003

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TYPHOON MALAKAS (GENER) UPDATE NUMBER 003 Issued at: 1:00 AM PhT (17:00 GMT) Friday 16 September 2016 Next Update: Friday Morning, 16 September 2016

Current Status and Outlook Typhoon MALAKAS (GENER) has gained strength as it starts to accelerate across the southern part of the North Philippine Sea. This typhoon is forecast to move Northwesterly at 23 kph across the mid-western part of the North Philippine Sea within the next 24 hours and will just pass to the east of the Batanes Group of Islands well-within the western-edge of its circulation around Friday noon. Where is Malakas (Gener)? As of 11:00 PM PhT last night, September 15...1500 GMT.  The center was located over the southernmost part of the North Philippine Sea (near 18.7N 126.2E),about 422 km east of Santa Ana, Cagayan or 483 km southeast of Basco, Batanes.  How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 155 kph near the center...Gustiness: 185 kph Where is it heading? It was moving Northwest @ 24 kph, towards the mid-western part of the North Philippine Sea. What Philippine areas will be most affected?* *Where Damaging Winds of >100 km/hr will be expected. None.       Storm Surge Info None. 3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary** FRIDAY EVENING: Passing well to the east of the Bashi Channel and intensifying further...about 223 km northeast of Basco, Batanes [8PM SEP 16: 22.1N 123.3E @ 185kph]. Confidence Level:  HIGH. SATURDAY EVENING: Turns North-Northwest to Northward after passing the Yaeyama Islands and exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)…about 146 km northeast of Taipei, Taiwan [8PM SEP 17: 26.1N 122.5E @ 185kph].  Confidence Level:  MEDIUM. SUNDAY EVENING: Recurves to the Northeast as it accelerates across the East China Sea and starts losing strength rapidly…about 384 km east-northeast of Wenzhou, China [8PM SEP 18: 28.3N 124.6E @ 140kph].  Confidence Level:  MEDIUM. **Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time. Other Storm Info - 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 25 to 250 mm [Moderate to Heavy] - Minimum Central Pressure: 956 millibars (hPa) - Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 480 km (Small) - Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts):110 km from the center. Additional Distances Time/Date: 11:00 PM PhT Thu Sep 15, 2016 Location of Center: Near 18.7º N Lat 126.2º E Lon Distance 1: 475 km ENE of Aparri, Cagayan Distance 2: 491 km ENE of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan Distance 3: 516 km SE of Itbayat, Batanes Distance 4: 717 km NE of Metro Manila Distance 5: 758 km SE of Taipei, Taiwan Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information. Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Weather.com.ph

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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>

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