This weather updates section provides "easy-to-understand" tropical cyclone information over the South China Sea and Northwest Pacific Basin (from Malay Peninsula - 100° E up to the International Date Line - 180°). This website is updated every 6 hours (12pm, 6pm, and 6am Philippine Time ~ GMT+8) during times of tropical cyclone activity except 12am Philippine Time (to be included if Tropical Cyclone will pass over the Philippine Islands or close to Bicol Region).

The tropical cyclone information available on this site are taken from different online meteorological agencies from around the world-wide web namely: WeatherPhilippines Foundation Inc., Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical & Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA), U.S. Navy's Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) based in Pearl Harbor, Hawaii, United Nations' Regional Specialized Meteorological Centre (RSMC) Tokyo-Typhoon Centre (Japan Meteorological Agency), & Hong Kong Observatory.

Wednesday, November 8, 2017

Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 99W StormWatch No. 01

 

Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 99W StormWatch No. 01

lpa-stormwatch-01
lpa-stormwatch-image-01

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (LPA) 99W STORMWATCH NO. 01

Issued at: 8:00 AM PhT (00:00 GMT) Wednesday 08 November 2017
Next update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT), Thursday 09 Nov 2017 or Earlier
Current Status and OutlookA fast-moving Tropical Disturbance (LPA) over Western Micronesia has entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) and is likely to develop into a Tropical Cyclone within the next 24 to 48 hours…now threatens Eastern Visayas and Southern Bicol.

The system's circulation together with its associated Trough will bring scattered to widespread rains and thunderstorms across Eastern Visayas and Eastern Mindanao beginning today through Thursday (Nov 09).

Where is the LPA 99W?As of 5:00 AM PhT, November 08…2100 GMT.  The center was located over the southeastern part of the Central Philippine Sea (near 10.2N 132.2E), about 714 km east-southeast of Guiuan, Eastern Samar or 800 km east-southeast of Tacloban City, Leyte. 
How strong is it?Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 35 kph near the center…Gustiness: 45 kph
Past Movement (06 hrs)It was moving West-Northwest @ 33 kph, towards Eastern Visayas.
Forecast Highlights
  • The reliable Global Typhoon Forecast Models (GTFM) are predicting this system to make landfall over Eastern Samar between 4am to 8am Thursday, Nov 09.  The system's strength could likely be a Tropical Depression (TD) or a weak Tropical Storm (TS). If the system maintains its strength, then it will remain a Low Pressure Area (LPA) as it traverses Northern Visayas. The forecast confidence is currently at MEDIUM.
  • Its main circulation will bring scattered to widespread rains and thunderstorms across Bicol Region, and the rest of  the Visayas beginning late today through Thursday (Nov 09).
  • Once this LPA becomes a TD it will be named locally as "SALOME."
  • The Day 3 forecast (Nov 11) shows it moving out of the PAR on Saturday early morning, in the general direction of Southern China. 
  • This 24-hour StormWatch Update will be replaced with a 6-hrly Tropical Cyclone Updates once the LPA develops into a Tropical Cyclone.

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

__._,_.___
Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)
Have you tried the highest rated email app?
With 4.5 stars in iTunes, the Yahoo Mail app is the highest rated email app on the market. What are you waiting for? Now you can access all your inboxes (Gmail, Outlook, AOL and more) in one place. Never delete an email again with 1000GB of free cloud storage.

.

__,_._,___
Posted by at

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.

Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom)