Tropical Depression 04W (EGAY) Update No. 04

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W (EGAY) UPDATE NO. 04 Issued at: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Sunday, 30 June 2019 Next update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Monday, 01 July 2019
Current Status and Outlook	04W (EGAY) has rapidly accelerated west-northwestward during the past 12 hours and weakened into a Tropical Depression (TD) while over the northern part of the Central Philippine Sea.  The weakening of the system was due to strong upper-level winds (vertical wind shear) which has degraded the system's circulation. 24-hr Outlook: TD 04W (EGAY) is forecast to maintain its intensity, and will resume moving northwestward at an increased forward speed of 27 km/hr towards the Balintang and Bashi Channel Area. This storm is still far to directly affect any part of the Philippines, however, it will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) bringing occasional rains and thunderstorms across Luzon and Visayas, becoming more frequent along the Western Sections including MiMaRoPa and Metro Manila through Tuesday or Wednesday (Jul 02-03).
Where is 04W (EGAY)?	As of 5:00 PM PhT today, June 30…0900 GMT. The center was located over the northern part of the Central Philippine Sea (near 16.9°N 127.8°E), about 624 km east of Casiguran, Aurora or 724 km east-southeast of Basco, Batanes.
How strong is it?	Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 55 kph near the center…Gustiness: 75 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs)	West-Northwest @ 28 kph, towards Batanes-Taiwan Area.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)	:: None.
What Philippine areas will be directly affected?	Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 to 100 mm expected): >> None. Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected): >> None.
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+	:: None. +Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.
3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**	MONDAY AFTERNOON: Maintains its strength while resuming its northwestward track across eastern parts of Balintang and Bashi Channels…about 164 km ESE of Basco, Batanes [2PM Jul 01: 20.0°N 123.5°E @ 55kph].  Confidence Level: LOW. TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Exits the Northwestern Border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) as it weakens further while heading west-northwestward towards Southern China…about 133 km WSW of Kaohsiung, Taiwan [2PM Jul 02: 22.0°N 119.2°E @ 45kph].  Confidence Level: LOW. WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens into a Tropical Disturbance (LPA) as it makes landfall over Southern China, in the vicinity of Shantou City…about 231 km WSW of Xiamen, China [2PM Jul 03: 23.9°N 115.9°E @ 35kph].  Confidence Level: LOW. **Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Other Storm Info	> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 320 mm [Light to Extreme] > Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa) > Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 615 km (Small) > Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.
Additional Information	Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Sun June 30, 2019 Location of Center/Eye: Near 16.9°N Lat 127.8°E Lon Distance 1: 503 km NE of Pandan, Catanduanes Distance 2: 545 km NE of Caramoan, Camarines Sur Distance 3: 579 km NE of Siruma, Camarines Sur Distance 4: 686 km ENE of Baler, Aurora Distance 5: 766 km ENE of Metro Manila 24 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 20.0°N 123.5°E (TD) 48 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 22.0°N 119.2°E (TD) 72 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 23.9°N 115.9°E (LPA)
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

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Tropical Storm 04W (EGAY) Update No. 03

TROPICAL STORM 04W (EGAY) UPDATE NO. 03 Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Sunday, 30 June 2019 Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Sunday, 30 June 2019
Current Status and Outlook	Tropical Storm 04W (EGAY) has maintained its strength during the past 12 hours while moving slowly northwestward  across the Central Philippine Sea.  Its overall structure has become slightly disorganized with its rainbands displaced west of its center.  24-hr Outlook: TS 04W (EGAY) is forecast to slowly intensify, and will continue moving northwestward at an increased forward speed of 22 km/hr towards the North Philippine Sea. This storm is still far to directly affect any part of the Philippines, however, it will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) bringing occasional rains and thunderstorms across Luzon and Visayas, becoming more frequent along the Western Sections including MiMaRoPa and Metro Manila through Tuesday or Wednesday (Jul 02-03).
Where is 04W (EGAY)?	As of 5:00 AM PhT today, June 30…2100 GMT. The center was located over the middle part of the Central Philippine Sea (near 15.6°N 130.2°E), about 683 km east-northeast of Virac, Catanduanes or 933 km east of Baler, Aurora.
How strong is it?	Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 65 kph near the center…Gustiness: 85 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs)	Northwest @ 16 kph, towards Southwestern Part of the North Philippine Sea.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)	:: None.
What Philippine areas will be directly affected?	Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 to 100 mm expected): >> None. Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected): >> None.
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+	:: None. +Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.
3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**	MONDAY EARLY MORNING: Intensifies further as it maintains its northwestward track across the southwestern part of the North Philippine Sea…about 475 km ENE of Palanan, Isabela [2AM Jul 01: 18.2°N 126.7°E @ 85kph].  Confidence Level: MEDIUM. TUESDAY EARLY MORNING: Becomes a Severe Tropical Storm (STS) while over the Bashi Channel, moving northwestward very close to the Batanes Group of Islands…about 45 km ENE of Itbayat, Batanes [2AM Jul 02: 21.0°N 122.2°E @ 100kph].  Confidence Level: LOW. WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING: Weakens slightly as it  bears down the coast of Southern China (outside of the Philippine Area of Responsibility)…about 165 km S of Xiamen, China [2AM Jul 03: 23.0°N 118.2°E @ 95kph].  Confidence Level: LOW. **Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Other Storm Info	> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 300 mm [Light to Extreme] > Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa) > Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 675 km (Medium) > Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.
Additional Information	Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Sun June 30, 2019 Location of Center/Eye: Near 15.6°N Lat 130.2°E Lon Distance 1: 670 km ENE of Bato, Catanduanes Distance 2: 727 km ENE of Sorsogon City, Sorsogon Distance 3: 747 km ENE of Legazpi City, Albay Distance 4: 786 km ENE of Naga City, Camarines Sur Distance 5: 988 km E of Metro Manila 24 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 18.2°N 126.7°E (TS) 48 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 21.0°N 122.2°E (STS) 72 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 23.0°N 118.2°E (STS)
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

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Tropical Storm 04W Update No. 02

TROPICAL STORM 04W UPDATE NO. 02 Issued at: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Saturday, 29 June 2019 Next update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Sunday, 30 June 2019
Current Status and Outlook	04W becomes a Tropical Storm (TS) as it moves slowly northwestward across the Central Philippine Sea with improved convective signature. 24-hr Outlook: TS 04W is forecast to intensify further, and will continue moving northwesward at an increased forward speed of 19 km/hr towards the North Philippine Sea. This storm is still far to directly affect any part of the Philippines, however, it will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) bringing occasional rains and thunderstorms across Luzon and Visayas, becoming more frequent along the Western Sections including MiMaRoPa and Metro Manila today through early next week.
Where is 04W?	As of 5:00 PM PhT today, June 29…0900 GMT. The center was located over the eastern part of the Central Philippine Sea (near 14.7°N 131.3°E), about 776 km east of Virac, Catanduanes or 1,058 km east of Baler, Aurora.
How strong is it?	Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 65 kph near the center…Gustiness: 85 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs)	Northwest @ 13 kph, towards Northern Part of the Central Philippine Sea.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)	:: None.
What Philippine areas will be directly affected?	Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 to 100 mm expected): >> None. Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected): >> None.
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+	:: None. +Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.
3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**	SUNDAY AFTERNOON: Intensifies further as it maintains its northwestward track across the northern part of the Central Philippine Sea…about 533 km NE of Pandan, Catanduanes [2PM Jun 30: 16.7°N 128.3°E @ 75kph].  Confidence Level: MEDIUM. MONDAY AFTERNOON: Becomes a Severe Tropical Storm (STS) while over the western part of the North Philippine Sea…about 255 km East of Basco, Batanes [2PM Jul 01: 20.0°N 124.4°E @ 95kph].  Confidence Level: LOW. TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Strengthens further as it passes just to the north of the Batanes Group of Islands, approaching the southeastern coast of Taiwan…about 113 km NNE of Itbayat, Batanes [2PM Jul 02: 21.7°N 122.3°E @ 100kph].  Confidence Level: LOW. **Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Other Storm Info	> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 280 mm [Light to Heavy] > Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa) > Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 460 km (Small) > Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.
Additional Information	Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Sat June 29, 2019 Location of Center/Eye: Near 14.7°N Lat 131.3°E Lon Distance 1: 722 km ENE of Borongan City, Eastern Samar Distance 2: 762 km E of Bato, Catanduanes Distance 3: 809 km E of Caramoan, Camarines Sur Distance 4: 883 km E of Naga City, Camarines Sur Distance 5: 1102 km E of Metro Manila 24 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 16.7°N 128.3°E (TS) 48 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 20.0°N 124.4°E (STS) 72 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 21.7°N 122.3°E (STS)
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

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Tropical Depression 04W Update No. 01 (Updated)

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W UPDATE NO. 01 (Updated) Issued at: 8:00 AM PhT (00:00 GMT) Saturday, 29 June 2019 Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Saturday, 29 June 2019
Current Status and Outlook	The small but active Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 95W east of Bicol Region has intensified into Tropical Depression (TD) 04W while over the Philippine Sea. This cyclone may pose a threat to Batanes Group of Islands early next week. 24-hr Outlook: TD 04W is forecast to intensify into a Tropical Storm (TS) by early tomorrow morning (Jun 30), and will move northwesward across the Central Philippine Sea at a forward speed of 15 km/hr. This depression is still far to directly affect any part of the Philippines, however, it will enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) bringing occasional rains and thunderstorms across Luzon and Visayas, becoming more frequent along the Western Sections including MiMaRoPa and Metro Manila today through early next week.
Where is 04W?	As of 5:00 AM PhT today, June 29…2100 GMT. The center was located over the eastern part of the Central Philippine Sea (near 13.9°N 132.4°E), about 887 km east of Virac, Catanduanes or 946 km east of Legazpi City, Albay.
How strong is it?	Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 45 kph near the center…Gustiness: 65 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs)	West-Northwest @ 14 kph, towards Northern Part of the Central Philippine Sea.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)	:: None.
What Philippine areas will be directly affected?	Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 to 100 mm expected): >> None. Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected): >> None.
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+	:: None. +Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.
3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**	SUNDAY EARLY MORNING: Intensifies into a TS as it moves northwestward across the northern part of the Central Philippine Sea…about 674 km ENE of Bato, Catanduanes [2AM Jun 30: 15.7°N 130.2°E @ 65kph].  Confidence Level: MEDIUM. MONDAY EARLY MORNING: Intensifies further as it maintains its northwesterly track across the southwestern part of the North Philippine Sea…about 522 km ENE of Palanan, Isabela [2AM Jul 01: 18.4°N 127.1°E @ 75kph].  Confidence Level: LOW. TUESDAY EARLY MORNING: Strengthens into a Severe Tropical Storm (STS) as it passes just to the east of the Batanes Group of Islands…about 188 km East of Basco, Batanes [2AM Jul 02: 20.6°N 123.8°E @ 95kph].  Confidence Level: LOW. **Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Other Storm Info	> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 310 mm [Light to Extreme] > Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa) > Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 595 km (Small) > Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.
Additional Information	Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Sat June 29, 2019 Location of Center/Eye: Near 13.9°N Lat 132.4°E Lon Distance 1: 792 km ENE of Guiuan, Eastern Samar Distance 2: 859 km ENE of Tacloban City, Leyte Distance 3: 880 km ENE of Surigao City, Surigao Del Norte Distance 4: 896 km ENE of Baybay City, Leyte Distance 5: 1244 km E of Metro Manila 24 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 15.7°N 130.2°E (TS) 48 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 18.4°N 127.1°E (TS) 72 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 20.6°N 123.8°E (STS)
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

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