Typhoon MAN-YI StormWatch No. 01

TYPHOON MAN-YI STORMWATCH NO. 01 Issued at: 9:00 AM PhT (01:00 GMT) Friday 23 November 2018 Next update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT), Saturday 24 November 2018
Current Status and Outlook	Typhoon "MAN-YI", named after a strait in Hong Kong (now a reservoir) is currently approaching the eastern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), but is not a threat to the Philippine Islands.  MAN-YI is likely to enter the PAR on Sunday morning (Nov 25) and will be named locally as "TOMAS".
Where is MAN-YI?	As of 5:00 AM PhT today, November 23…2100 GMT. The center was located approaching the eastern border of the PAR (near 14.3°N 136.8°E), about 864 km west of Hagatna, Guam (CNMI) or 1,363 km east of Virac, Catanduanes.
How strong is it?	Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 150 kph near the center…Gustiness: 185 kph
Past Movement (06 hrs)	Northwest @ 23 km/hr, towards the North Philippine Sea.
Forecast Highlights	TY MAN-YI is too far away to directly affect any part of the Philippines.  This typhoon is still expected to intensify within the next 12 hours, but the approaching surge of cold air from the Northeast Monsoon (Amihan) will start weakening the system. The WPF's Day 2 to 3 Forecast (Nov 25-26) shows it drifting slowly west to WNW, entering the eastern border of the PAR on Sunday morning, and could weaken rapidly into a Tropical Storm (TS) on Monday morning due to the entrainment of cold dry air.  The confidence of this forecast is low (<30% chance). It will be named locally by PAGASA as "TOMAS" once it enters the PAR. The next StormWatch Update will be issued after 24 hours or by Thursday early evening (Oct 25).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

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