Tropical Storm DANAS (FALCON) Update No. 06

TROPICAL STORM DANAS (FALCON) UPDATE NO. 06 Issued at: 6:55 AM PhT (22:55 GMT) Wednesday, 17 July 2019 Next update: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Wednesday, 17 July 2019
Current Status and Outlook	Tropical Storm DANAS (FALCON) slows down near the eastern coast of Cagayan, revealing an exposed low-level circulation center, with most of its rainbands displaced over Luzon and West Philippine Sea…expected to move later towards the Northeastern Coast of Cagayan-Batanes Group Area. 24-hr Outlook: TS DANAS (FALCON) is expected to gain more strength as it turns abrubtly north-northwest near the coastal areas of Northeastern Cagayan this afternoon and will track along the eastern portion of the Balintang Channel at an increased forward speed of 18 km/hr, passing very close to the east of Basco and Itbayat (Batanes) by early tomorrow morning (Jul 18). Meanwhile, the combination of its Trough and the enhanced Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) will bring occasional rains and thunderstorms across Luzon and Visayas, becoming more frequent along Western Luzon and MiMaRoPa today through Thursday.
Where is Danas (Falcon)?	As of 5:00 AM PhT today, July 17…2100 GMT. The center was located over the northwestern part of the Central Philippine Sea (near 17.5°N 123.1°E), about 148 km southeast of Santa Ana, Cagayan or 146 km east of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan.
How strong is it?	Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 65 kph near the center…Gustiness: 85 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs)	West-Northwest @ 06 kph, towards the Balintang Channel-Batanes Group Area.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)	:: None.
What Philippine areas will be directly affected?	Heavy to Extreme Rains (50 mm to more than 100 mm expected): >> Northern and Central Luzon – Today until Thursday (Jul 18). Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected): >> None.
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+	:: None. +Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.
2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**	THURSDAY EARLY MORNING: Intensifies further as it accelerates NNW-ward across the Eastern part of the Balintang Channel, passing over or very close to the Batanes Group of Islands…about 38 km E of Itbayat, Batanes [2AM Jul 18: 20.8°N 122.2°E @ 85kph].  Confidence Level: LOW. FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Continues to accelerate northward while over the East China Sea, exits the northwestern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)…about 189 km NNE of Taipei, Taiwan [2AM Jul 19: 26.6°N 122.3°E @ 85kph].  Confidence Level: LOW. **Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Other Storm Info	> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 400 mm [Light to Extreme] > Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa) > Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 660 km (Small) > Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.
Additional Information	Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Wed July 17, 2019 Location of Center/Eye: Near 17.5°N Lat 123.1°E Lon Distance 1: 93 km NE of Palanan, Isabela Distance 2: 177 km E of Tabuk City, Kalinga Distance 3: 181 km ESE of Aparri, Cagayan Distance 4: 186 km ENE of Santiago City, Isabela Distance 5: 392 km NE of Metro Manila 24 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 20.8°N 122.2°E (TS) 48 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 26.6°N 122.3°E (TS)
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

TCWS by: DOST-PAGASA (https://pubfiles.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tamss/weather/signals.jpg)

--
You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Typhoon2000.com Philippine Storm Updates" group.
To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to typhoon2000com-philippine-storm-updates+unsubscribe@googlegroups.com.
To post to this group, send email to typhoon2000com-philippine-storm-updates@googlegroups.com.
Visit this group at https://groups.google.com/group/typhoon2000com-philippine-storm-updates.
To view this discussion on the web visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/typhoon2000com-philippine-storm-updates/22221046-bf32-4c57-bb6d-c1aed47fc0b0%40googlegroups.com.
For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout.