Tropical Depression OFEL Advisory No. 03
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OFEL ADVISORY NO. 03Issued at: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Wednesday, 14 October 2020 Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Wednesday, 14 October 2020 | |
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Current Status and Outlook | Tropical Depression OFEL moving across the southern part of Burias Island…expected to pass over or very close to Southern Marinduque late this evening. Its displaced thick Rainbands continues to spread across the whole Bicol Region, and is now extending across the whole of CalaBaRZon including Metro Manila and Mindoro.
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Where is OFEL? | As of 11:00 AM PhT today, October 14…0300 GMT. The center was located over San Isidro, Burias Island (near 12.8°N 123.3°E), about 46 km south-southwest of Ligao City, Albay or 56 km north-northwest of Masbate City, Masbate. |
How strong is it? | Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 45 kph near the center…Gustiness: 65 kph. |
Past Movement (06 hrs) | West-Northwest @ 21 kph, towards Romblon-Marinduque-Mindoro Area. |
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s) | :: Landfall 3 – Along the southern tip of Marinduque, between 7 to 8 PM Tonight – with High Strike Probability of 65%.
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What Philippine areas will be directly affected? | Heavy to Extreme Rains (50 mm to >100 mm expected in 24 hrs): >> Bicol Region, Southern Quezon, Romblon, Marinduque, Southern Luzon, Mindoro, Metro Manila, Portions of Central Luzon – Today. Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected): |
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+ | :: None.
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2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary** | THURSDAY MORNING: Emerges over the West Philippine Sea, near the NW Coast of Occidental Mindoro…intensifies slightly…about 135 km WSW of Batangas City, Batangas [8AM Oct 15: 13.3°N 119.9°E @ 55kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.
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Other Storm Info | > 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 200 mm [Light to Heavy] > Minimum Central Pressure: 1006 millibars (hPa) > Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 400 km (Very Small/Midget) > Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None. |
Additional Information | Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Wed October 14, 2020 Location of Center/Eye: Near 12.8°N Lat 123.3°E Lon Distance 1: 66 km S of Nabua, Camarines Sur Distance 2: 69 km SSW of Tabaco City, Albay Distance 3: 70 km S of Iriga City, Camarines Sur Distance 4: 89 km S of Naga City, Camarines Sur Distance 5: 312 km SE of Metro Manila 24 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 13.3°N 119.9°E (TD) 48 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 14.3°N 115.3°E (TS) |
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information. |
PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
Image Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://pubfiles.pagasa.dost.
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