This weather updates section provides "easy-to-understand" tropical cyclone information over the South China Sea and Northwest Pacific Basin (from Malay Peninsula - 100° E up to the International Date Line - 180°). This website is updated every 6 hours (12pm, 6pm, and 6am Philippine Time ~ GMT+8) during times of tropical cyclone activity except 12am Philippine Time (to be included if Tropical Cyclone will pass over the Philippine Islands or close to Bicol Region).

The tropical cyclone information available on this site are taken from different online meteorological agencies from around the world-wide web namely: WeatherPhilippines Foundation Inc., Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical & Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA), U.S. Navy's Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) based in Pearl Harbor, Hawaii, United Nations' Regional Specialized Meteorological Centre (RSMC) Tokyo-Typhoon Centre (Japan Meteorological Agency), & Hong Kong Observatory.

Friday, October 23, 2020

Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 98W StormWatch No. 01

Typhoon2000 Philippine TC Advisories

Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 98W StormWatch No. 01


TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (LPA) 98W STORMWATCH NO. 01

Issued at: 2:00 PM PhT (06:00 GMT) Friday, 23 October 2020
Next update: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Saturday, 24 October 2020
Current Status and OutlookTropical Disturbance (LPA) 98W has entered the eastern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) and becomes active…currently traversing the Philippine Sea and could develop into a Tropical Depression (TD) within the next 06 to 24 hours. It is likely to threaten Eastern Visayas and Bicol Region this weekend.
Where is LPA 98W?As of 11:00 AM PhT today, October 23…0300 GMT. The developing center was located over the southeasternmost part of the Central Philippine Sea (near 10.2°N 134.2°E), about 931 km east of Guiuan, Eastern Samar or 970 km east of Borongan, Eastern Samar.
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 35 kph near the center…Gustiness: 50 kph.

Past Movement (06 hrs)West-Northwest @ 22 kph, towards Philippine Sea.
Forecast Highlights
  • LPA 98W is expected to intensify within the next 06 to 24 hours due to conducive atmospheric environment. It shall reach Tropical Depression (TD) status later today, and eventually becoming a Tropical Storm (TS) by Saturday Afternoon. It could reach Severe Tropical Storm (STS) before it makes landfall over the Bicol Peninsula on Monday, Oct 26.
    Kindly refer to our attached StormWatch Track for the forecast wind speeds of this cyclone.
  • Current Typhoon Global Models forecast it to make landfall over the Bicol Peninsula on Monday morning (Oct 26) with Medium Strike Probability (@ 60% Forecast Confidence).
  • Once this LPA becomes a Tropical Depression (TD), it will be named by PAGASA as "QUINTA."

Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for T2K

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